After winning last weekend’s British Grand Prix, Lewis Hamilton is again the clear favorite to emerge victorious from the second of two back-to-back races at Silverstone, England in this weekend’s 70th Anniversary Grand Prix (Race: 9:10am ET, Sunday).
There was plenty of drama in the final stages of the first Grand Prix at the circuit. Mercedes seemed to be cruising to a one-two when second-placed Valtteri Bottas suffered a tyre failure three laps from the end. On the final lap, Hamilton befell the same fate.
While Bottas was forced to pit and in doing so dropped out of the points, Hamilton was able to limp over the line with just three good tyres to take a third consecutive victory. It wasn’t just the two Mercedes cars that suffered. Carlos Sainz had been in line for an excellent fourth-place finish for McLaren before his own late-race tyre failure.
The consensus seems to be that the increased pace and downforce of this year’s cars, a longer than normal final stint due to an early safety car, and debris on the track produced the conditions for those failures. There will likely be a little more caution on Sunday, particularly as Pirelli have chosen a softer selection of tyre compounds for this event. It was a decision taken last month in a bid to differentiate the two races at the circuit.
Max Verstappen could very well have taken victory for Red Bull had his team not taken advantage of the gap behind him to pit immediately for fresh rubber following Bottas’ failure. He still came home second for the second race in a row and did claim the fastest lap of the race, and the extra point that comes with it, thanks to that change.
The degree of Mercedes’ dominance was slightly masked by the late-race craziness but a lockout of the front row in qualifying, with pole sitter Hamilton a smidgen over a second quicker than Verstappen in third, and a fourth win in four races this season makes them the clear and justified favorites to win out again on Sunday. There are unattractive odds with the leading U.S. online odds setters to match.
Neither is there much value to be found in backing Verstappen for the podium. After retiring from the opening race, he has finished in the top three in each of the last three races. With his teammate Alexander Albon struggling to get near him, he is often well ahead of the chasing pack.
The top-six market is therefore the furthest up the grid that a degree of value can be found. After the podium finishers, it was the Renault of Daniel Ricciardo, the McLaren of Lando Norris and Ricciardo’s teammate Esteban Ocon who filled the remaining of those places last Sunday.
McLaren had good pace all weekend, qualifying fifth and seventh, and would have scored well with both of their cars had it not been for Sainz’s tyre failure. The Spaniard has a solid chance of righting last week’s wrong and securing a top-six finish on Sunday.
Renault’s double top-six finish may well have been occasioned by the failures of others but they looked decently quick throughout the weekend, with both of their cars qualifying inside the top 10. It wouldn’t be any kind of surprise if both drivers again scored points on Sunday.
The four remaining points-paying positions last weekend were filled by Pierre Gasly’s AlphaTauri, Albon’s Red Bull, the Racing Point of Lance Stroll and Sebastian Vettel’s Ferrari.
This is a repeat of last week’s bet, but Daniil Kyvat again looks the only real value option in the points finish market. His teammate Gasly managed to get the AlphaTauri into the top 10 last weekend. Despite starting 19th following a grid-place penalty for a gearbox change, Kyvat was running just a place behind him in the early stages of the race. That was before his day came to a premature end with a heavy crash that brought out the safety car.
With an opportunity to start from further up the field and hopefully without a repeat misadventure through the gravel, Kyvat has a solid chance of bringing home his AlphaTauri in the points on Sunday.
So USAbetting’s F1 70th Anniversary GP predictions and betting picks for this preview are: