Two sides in mid-table meet at the Emirates on Sunday with both Arsenal and Leeds looking for a lift after modest results in recent weeks (11.30am ET). A solitary point separates tenth placed Leeds United from the Gunners, who are one position beneath their opponents and that could point to a tight encounter.
Recent results have been modest in both camps so this may not be the most entertaining game on the EPL schedule but we don’t care too much from a betting perspective. USA Betting is looking for some value and this could be a solid match to focus on.
AFC vs LUFC Moneyline Odds
Home advantage has helped Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal side claim the favorites’ berth and you can currently back the Gunners at average odds of around -125. The draw is on offer at a general industry price of +260 while the majority of sportsbooks are quoting odds of +300 on a win for Leeds United.
The moneyline market points to a comfortable home win but the form guide might suggest otherwise. Over the course of their last five games, Arsenal have won just once and they have three defeats and a draw in that time. Across the same period, Leeds United have three victories and their two most recent losses have both been by a single goal margin against Everton and Brighton.
Those results indicate that neither side is in dominant form right now but they also hint that Sunday’s match could be closer than the odds setters from the big U.S. sports betting firms think. Before we commit to an outcome in this game, let’s take a look at the players who can decide its destiny.
Prop Bets for this EPL Game
Arsenal’s strike duo of Andre Lacazette and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang may not have been as prolific as Gunners fans would have liked but the two men head the club’s scoring charts this season. They are also joint favorites to open the scoring on Sunday with both Lacazette and Aubameyang available at +300 in places.
Leeds’ most potent attacker this season is the former Chelsea striker Patrick Bamford who has a healthy return of 12 goals in 22 games so far. Bamford is a tempting option in the first goalscorer betting at a best of +600.
Turning to team bets and the popular prop of Both Teams to Score can be claimed this week at a top price of just -155. That is a little too short for comfort and it may even be worth voting ‘no’ on BTTS at a best of +150.
Total Goals betting is next with average odds of around -175 to stake Over the 2.5 line. Looking at the combined stats from recent matches, this could be a good day to go Under that mark and this bet would currently return a typical +130. Alternatively, to push it higher and go Above the 3.5 line, bettors would be rewarded with best odds of +163.
We think it will be a tight game and, for smaller stakes in the Correct Score betting, a 1-1 final outcome would be our preference. This option carries the lowest odds in this particular market and it is on offer at a general +700.
Those that disagree and think that the sportsbooks have got this right have different options. Arsenal 3 Leeds United 1 is available at a best of +1400 while the same outcome in favor of Leeds is quoted at a general +2800.
Our Betting Preview’s Arsenal vs Leeds Predictions & EPL Game Betting Verdict
Neither side was involved in the English FA Cup fifth round ties this week so both teams should be nice and rested ahead of Sunday’s kick off. We have already underlined the form guide and that is the basis behind our views on this game. A tight draw is the verdict and that feeling is backed by the fact that these teams drew 0-0 at Elland Road in this season’s reverse fixture.
We are hopeful, however, that there will be a few more goals in this game and we would be looking at that 1-1 scoreline with smaller stakes. For those who want less exposure, we’ll simply suggest taking the Under 2.5 goals bet which has crept above +100 (even money). That would cover a number of outcomes and it looks a strong pick for two sides who are struggling to find the net.
As for individual scorers, one player who has impressed us this season is Patrick Bamford at Leeds. Having been constantly sent on loan by parent club Chelsea, there was a feeling that he wasn’t good enough for the Premier League but his return this season is proving the doubters wrong. Bamford for a goal at any time carries reasonable odds and hopefully the Leeds striker will add to our profitable Sunday. So these are our Arsenal vs Leeds predictions and picks for this betting preview:
- The draw @ best odds of +280 on the moneyline with Bovada.
- Patrick Bamford to score at any time @ +160 with BetOnline. He is +150 with Bovada and Intertops.
- Under 2.5 goals @ +140 with Bovada. It is +130 with Intertops.
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.