Pro-Am tournaments aren’t for everyone, but away from the celebrity sideshow, this is another important event on the PGA Tour calendar. February is a time when golfers start to prepare for the bigger tournaments, including the first major of the year in April. The field for this year’s edition of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am remains mixed, but there is some serious quality at the top of the betting lines with the best American-serving sportsbooks. The world’s top two players are set to tee it up and the bookmakers are having trouble splitting them.
Last week at the Farmers Insurance Open, we claimed a small return in our top 10 finish picks as Ludvig Aberg tied for ninth. It has been a steady start to 2024, but let’s see if we can improve on things with this AT&T Pebble Beach preview with picks and betting predictions.
Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler are both involved this week and the top two in the world rankings are joint favorites in many places at best industry odds of 17/2. McIlroy is the form golfer in the field, coming into Thursday on the back of a tie for second and a win in Dubai. It is his first visit to Pebble Beach since the 2019 US Open, where he tied for ninth. Scheffler is playing this tournament for the first time, but the courses and format of the event should suit his all-round game.
Behind the market leaders comes Viktor Hovland and the Norwegian can be backed at a top price of 12/1. Hovland has a reasonable record at Pebble Beach, but it is not spectacular, and his best return in three visits was a tie for 12th last year.
Next are Xander Schauffele and Jordan Spieth, who are both quoted at 16/1 in places, followed by Patrick Cantlay and Max Homa at 20/1. Spieth is the first former champion of the AT&T Pebble Beach, having won by four strokes in 2017, and he was a solo runner up to Tom Hoge two years ago. Cantlay enjoys this set up and has two top five finishes in six attempts. He also jointly holds the course record of 62 at Pebble Beach.
Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa are both listed at best odds of 25/1. Morikawa has been inconsistent lately, but Thomas has made a welcome return to form, and his last outing produced a tie for third at the American Express.
Others to consider in this section of the betting odds include Ludvig Aberg at 28/1, Tony Finau at 30/1, Sam Burns and Matt Fitzpatrick (both 35/1). Of those names, Fitzpatrick has the better record in this tournament and tied for six here two years ago.
Leading the outside bunch are three players at the same top price of 40/1. Tommy Fleetwood, Cameron Young and Sungjae Im can all be found at that figure in places. Fleetwood was a winner in Dubai in January, while Young ran Rory McIlroy close a week later.
Next is Nicolai Hojgaard at 45/1, followed by Byeong-Hun An, Jason Day and Tom Kim at 50/1. Day is a veteran of 13 AT&T Pebble Beach tournaments and he has made the cut in all of them. Hojgaard showed good form in Dubai, before recording a tie for second last Sunday.
Before we move on, other outside bets to consider include J.T. Poston at 55/1, Hideki Matsuyama at 66/1, Keegan Bradley at 70/1, Chris Kirk at 80/1, Brian Harman at 80/1 and Sepp Straka at 100/1.
Our 2024 AT&T Golf Preview’s Course & Betting Trends with Predictions & Picks
The trend for using multiple courses in a tournament extends into its third week. The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am uses three locations in the area: Pebble Beach Golf Links, Spyglass Hill Golf Club and the Monterey Peninsula Country Club.
All of these are short in length, with Spyglass Hill providing the greater distance at just over 7,000 yards. Each provides typical links golf challenges, with the constant threat of windy conditions, but the courses are kind, due to the number of amateurs in the field.
The big challenge is at Pebble Beach, where the greens are the smallest on the PGA Tour. Accuracy into those greens will be vital as the tournament closes out.
One man with a good all-round set of stats and improving form is Justin Thomas. A slump towards the end of last season meant that J.T. was unbackable, but his game is returning, and it is only a matter of time before he is on the winner’s podium again.
Crucially, he has found consistency and that tie for third in the American Express followed a strong run. So our AT&T golf betting picks and predictions against the sports betting firms for this preview are:
- Justin Thomas to win at best odds of +2500 (25/1) with Bovada and BetOnline.
- Top 10 Finish Picks (odds from BetOnline who are biggest on all these selections): Justin Thomas (+250), Cameron Young (+400), Jason Day (+400) and Tom Kim (+400).
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.