The destiny of the Bundesliga title is all but settled after Bayern Munich beat their closest rivals Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday. A brilliant chip from Joshua Kimmich was enough to separate the two sides and that win gives Bayern a seven-point lead over Dortmund with just six games to play.
In Saturday’s late kick off (12.30pm ET), Bayern will host a Fortuna Dusseldorf team who are still battling to keep away from the drop zone and while the result may appear to be in little doubt, this is the biggest game of the weekend at either end of the table.
Bayern Munich vs Fortuna Dusseldorf Moneyline Result Odds
The value is clearly going to lie in the prop bets for this game but it’s still worth taking a look at the moneyline odds. Backers of the home side may simply be happy to claim a modest profit but if there were to be a surprise outcome, the returns would be very nice indeed.
Bayern go into the match as hot favorites and Hans-Dieter Flick’s men can be claimed at around the -1400 mark. The draw is next at a general +1200 while the away win is listed as high as +4000 with the main United States’ online odds setters.
Dusseldorf were given additional hope of survival when they overcame Schalke by two goals to one on Thursday. In fact, Uwe Rosler’s men are unbeaten in their last five games so form is encouraging for anyone backing the visitors. Against rampant Bayern however, that positive run should come to an end on Saturday so, for value, we must switch to the prop bets.
Bayern vs Fortuna Prop Bets
Joshua Kimmich scored what may prove to be Bayern Munich’s most important goal of the campaign as the league leaders edged past Dortmund last time out. Kimmich isn’t the most likely source of goals and that strike was just his fourth of the season.
Kimmich is an outside bet to score the first goal in a market where the prolific Robert Lewandowski starts as favorite at a best of around +165. Joshua Zirkzee is close behind while Serge Gnabry and Jann-Fiete Arp are locked at +300 in places.
Bayern are clearly blessed with striking talent and after we move through Thomas Muller, one man who stands out from the midfield is Philippe Coutinho. Always a threat from set pieces and long range, the Brazilian has eight goals in 22 Bundesliga games this season and he is priced at around +450 to open the scoring.
Bayern Munich dominate the individual goal scoring markets but what about team goals? Combined overs and unders betting should have some value and we can play safe by taking Over 2.5 goals at short odds. However, to find a betting line that is not odds-on, we’ll need to go past over 3.5 and stake on over 4.5 goals in the matchup.
We may see five goals in the game but it would probably need Bayern to score all of them. Fortuna Dusseldorf have a reasonable record of six goals in their last five but they haven’t played any real quality teams in that run. For that reason, we would also look to pass on ‘both teams to score’ which is high this week at +128. For those taking No on BTTS, odds of around -135 are available.
Our Betting Preview’s Bayern Munich vs Fortuna Dusseldorf Predictions & Picks Verdict
This Bundesliga game preview has mentioned a few regular bets to avoid this week so what are we going to stake on? Firstly, we do think that the home win is inevitable and while Fortuna Dusseldorf do have some momentum, their impressive run of form has come against struggling sides. They are unbeaten in their last five but four of those games have been drawn and now they are away to dominant league leaders who come into Saturday on the back of five straight wins.
To kick things off with modest returns, we would look at Bayern Munich winning the game while over 3.5 goals in the match also looks likely. ‘Both teams to score’ is far from certain so we would look to vote ‘No’ on this option.
For bets with + signs in front of them, we’ll take Serge Gnabry to open the scoring. Philippe Coutinho is a tempting outsider but the midfielder is not a certain starter while Gnabry, who has 18 goals this season, is likely to back up Lewandowski in the front line.
Bayern will almost certainly win and they have the capacity to keep it tight at the back. Much is said about the attacking quality in this side but don’t overlook the fact that Manuel Neuer and his defense have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches. Bayern Munich to win to nil is the bet that rounds off our latest Bundesliga preview. It can be listed in a number of different ways so we will be taking the -155 from Bovada on the away side not to score. To summarize, these are our Bayern Munich vs Fortuna Dusseldorf predictions:
- Over 3.5 goals at -189 with Intertops.
- Serge Gnabry to score the first goal at +400 with Intertops.
- Fortuna Dusseldorf not to score at -155 with Bovada.
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.