There are no prizes for guessing where the PGA Tour is going to take us next. After last week’s Zozo Championship in Japan, it’s time to cross over to the Port Royal Golf Course in Southampton Parish, Bermuda.
This is the third running of the Bermuda Championship but, despite a significant increase in this year’s prize fund, it’s a very modest field lining up in 2021 this week. This can often mean that a long odds winner comes through the pack so there is the potential for a nice return if we can make some correct picks in this golf preview and predictions article.
Last week, Keegan Bradley tied for seventh to allow us a return in the top 10 finish markets. Our previews have enjoyed a positive run since the start of the new season so let’s see if we can keep it going.
He’s a regular on the PGA Tour but England’s Matthew Fitzpatrick won’t be used to starting as a clear favorite. Fitzy is available at best odds of 12/1 with the USA sports betting sites and is at the top of the pack based on his win at the Andalucia Masters two weeks ago.
Fitzpatrick has yet to win on the PGA Tour but, if he carries that form over from the European Tour, he can put that right on Sunday.
Christiaan Bezuidenhout is listed as 13/1 in places but, elsewhere, he’s quoted at a top price of 16/1. The South African has also been in good touch in Europe where his last outing ended with a solo fifth at the BMW PGA Championship.
Patrick Reed can be found at a general 20/1. One of the only familiar American names in the field, Reed is making his debut in the Bermuda Championship. Mito Pereira is next at a best of 26/1 while Hayden Buckley follows at a general 29/1.
Chile’s Pereira is certainly one to watch after impressing in his rookie season and he can take advantage of this weaker field.
Slightly further down, one name that interests us is that of Canada’s Adam Hadwin at a general 30/1. A consistent performer on Tour, he has a PGA win to his name and his last start produced a tie for sixth at the Shriners Open.
Other names to consider from within the chasing pack include Seamus Power at 30/1 and Matthias Schwab at 33/1. Power is attracting some interest, having played in both previous editions of the Bermuda Championship where he made the cut on each occasion.
Former US Masters Champion Danny Willett is out at best odds of 40/1 yet current form sees him take second place in this week’s Power Rankings. The Englishman made a welcome return to the winner’s enclosure with victory in the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship at the start of this month but his results Stateside are far less impressive.
One European who has been more consistent is Italy’s Guido Migliozzi. He made his debut on the PGA Tour at the US Open where he impressed with a tie for fourth. Subsequent performances in Europe suggest he should become a regular in America and we suspect he will do well this week.
Other names to look at in this outside section include Thomas Detry at 50/1, Garrick Higgo at 50/1, Russell Knox at 55/1, Nick Watney at 66/1 and Brian Gay at 100/1. Gay is the defending champion this week having edged out Wyndham Clark in a playoff 12 months ago.
The only other winner of this tournament, 2019 victor Brendon Todd, is absent this week but clearly there is scope for a long odds champion.
Our Preview’s Bermuda Championship Course & Betting Trends with Picks & Predictions Conclusion
The Port Royal Golf Course is a par 71 but it is very short at a fraction above 6,800 yards. The rough is relatively short and the greens are very slow at 10.5 on the Stimpmeter but the biggest challenge will come from the elements.
A stiff north easterly wind is expected and this can make it feel like true links golf. A course that is short and may seem calm, subsequently returned a scoring average Over Par in 2020.
Anyone who follows the European Tour closely may have an advantage when it comes to picking a winner in Bermuda. There are some familiar faces from the east of the Atlantic but can they carry their best form onto the PGA schedules?
Americans have won both previous editions and have also occupied solo runners up slots but that trend seems certain to end. Europe are strong but our tip for the title is Canada’s Adam Hadwin. He is a consistent performer who has previously taken advantage of this type of field to claim 12 professional wins across the Tours.
Hadwin has the game to succeed in Bermuda and, along with these other top ten finish suggestions, he can return a nice profit at the end of four days. So these are our Bermuda Championship preview’s predictions and betting picks:
- Adam Hadwin to win @ +3300 (33/1) with Intertops. He is 28/1 with BetOnline and 25/1 with Bovada.
- Top 10 Finish Picks: Hadwin (+200), Guido Migliozzi (+500), Garrick Higgo (+550) and Russell Knox (+400). All those odds are with BetOnline. Both Bovada and Intertops will be publishing top 10 betting lines shortly.
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.