The new PGA Tour season rolls on with another of the newer events on the circuit. The Bermuda Championship was first held in 2019 and it is a popular tournament for golf followers due to its spectacular surroundings.
Traditionally, the fields can be a little weaker and that’s the case once again for this 2022 renewal. What that tends to mean is that there can be value down the betting odds markets with the USA sports betting sites for those that can pick the winner.
With that in mind, let us head over to the Port Royal Golf Course in Southampton Parish and see what the sportsbooks make of it all as part of our Bermuda Championship preview with predictions and betting picks.
The favorite for the win this week is Denny McCarthy who starts things off at best industry odds of 16/1. He has been a regular in this event since inception and his best finish is a tie for fourth in 2020. Of the players in the field who competed at the CJ Cup last week, McCarthy returned the best result. That may indicate good form but the fact that he came in as a tied 37th puts things into better perspective.
Among the golfers on display are a number who have made an impression on the DP World Tour. Thomas Detry is the best of those and he tees off at a top price of 18/1. The Belgian finished in a tie for 22nd here last year. His most notable recent result was a tie for fifth at the BMW PGA Championship.
Behind the market leaders come Seamus Power and Mark Hubbard who can both be found at odds of 22/1 in places. Hubbard is another player to have tied in 22nd place last year and he has made the cut in each of his last five outings.
Ireland’s Power could be one to watch, but he is struggling to find the form that led to a debut PGA Tour win at the Barbasol Championship last year.
Next up are Adrian Meronk and Nick Hardy who are both on offer at best odds of 28/1. Meronk is a tall golfer from Poland who enjoyed a significant win at the Irish Open earlier this year. That’s one of four top three finishes from the DP World Tour season, but can he take that form into a new circuit? Hardy actually tops the Power Rankings this week, so there could be some value in his price. Having topped the Korn Ferry Tour he started the new season with a fifth at the Sanderson Farms.
Moving through, Justin Lower, Aaron Rai and Patrick Rodgers are all quoted at 30/1. Lower is a name that interests us. He has enjoyed five top 10 finishes in his last ten starts and was tied for sixth in this tournament at the end of the third round twelve months ago.
At the top of the outside bunch, Alex Smalley and S.H. Kim will both go off this week at a best of 33/1. Kim will attract some interest after a good start to the season which includes a best of a tie for fourth at the Shriners.
Elsewhere, Russell Knox could be a name to follow: In windy conditions, he can thrive and has appeared in each of the first three Bermuda Championships. At 40/1 and with a worst of a tie for 16th in those three attempts, Knox is one to watch for the top 10 finish betting odds at the very least.
Other names to mention in this section include Brandon Wu at 50/1, Adam Long at 50/1, Garrick Higgo at 66/1, C T Pan at 80/1 and Lucas Glover at 80/1.
Our Bermuda Championship Preview’s Course & Betting Trends with Predictions & Picks
The Port Royal Course is a par 71 but it is among the shortest in professional golf. Just 6,828 yards will separate the first tee to the 18th green so there is precious little value for the distance hitters.
Wind can prevail across the four days so those with experience of links golf can have an advantage. With slow greens and little in the way of punishing rough, players should all be targeting low scores.
Three previous years of the Bermuda Championship have produced three separate winners. In the first edition in 2019, Brendon Todd won by four strokes from Harry Higgs in second place. 2020 and 2021 saw wins from Brian Gay and Lucas Herbert respectively.
In all honesty it’s not the most inspiring field for 2022. There is a very good chance that we will get a high odds winner, but selecting the right man clearly is not easy.
It might be a week to focus on the top 10 finish markets when they open but, if pushed to name a winner, Justin Lower has a strong case. He faded badly on the final day last year after being well-placed, but he has the game for this course. One year on, he should also be better in handling final day pressure.
Justin Lower for the win, along with three other top 10 picks are in place as we look to get back to winning ways in Bermuda. So these are our predictions and betting picks for this golf preview:
- Justin Lower to win at top odds of +2800 (28/1) with BetOnline.
- Top 10 Finish Betting Picks (all odds with BetOnline, who are best odds on all these selections): Lower (+350), Garrick Higgo (+800), Seamus Power (+285) and Russell Knox (+400).
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.