Canada vs USA Soccer World Cup Qualifier Preview, Predictions, Betting Picks: Canucks Can

Jonathan DavidCanada and USA face each other in a crunch soccer World Cup qualification match on Sunday afternoon played at Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, Ontario (3.05pm ET; Live on TV: USA – Paramount+, Telemundo, Universo; Canada – OneSoccer, Sportsnet).

Can the visitors get the result that would take them to the top of the standings? Or will the hosts continue to prove themselves worthy of top spot? This preview with its predictions and betting picks will aim to answer those questions.

The Canadians kept themselves in fine form last time out, beating Honduras by two goals to nil, extending their winning streak to four. That result also signalled two clean sheets in three matches, while they’ve conceded only two goals in their last five. It’s also now six months since the Canucks tasted defeat, meaning that their unbeaten run currently stands at nine.

Sunday’s visitors have been in pleasing form too. It was perhaps a bit disappointing that USMNT didn’t win by a greater margin against lowly El Salvador a few days ago, though they still got the job done with a 1-0 victory and recorded another clean sheet in the process, their third in four fixtures.

Canucks coming to the party

Recent renewals of CONCACAF qualifying have generally seen Mexico and USA battle it out for top spot, but Canada’s best-ever crop of players are having a big say this time around. The Canadians are currently top dogs in the North and Central American qualification process, a point in front of the U.S. following Thursday’s win against Honduras. They’re also yet to lose in qualifying, winning five and drawing nine, scoring 15 in the process, which makes them the best team in the group in terms of goals scored. They also have the joint-best defensive record, which suggests that John Herdman’s men mean business.

Lack of goals worrying

USMNT also have a pleasing record in qualifying. They’re only a point behind Canada, and have only lost one of their nine matches, winning each of their last two. However, they have been a little bit slack in the final third over the last few months, which is a bit of a concern ahead of a match against a Canadian side that has looked very solid defensively.

As mentioned in this preview above, the fact that Gregg Berhalter’s men failed to notch more than once against El Salvador last time out wasn’t great, especially since it was such a gilt-edged opportunity to sharpen attacking tools. They’ve now gone three games in a row without scoring more than once. It’s also been seven games since they scored more than twice, scoring one or less in four of their last six.

Canadian wins few and far between in this fixture

In a list of head-to-head fixtures between this pair, you’d have to go back to 2019 to find the last Canadian win, their first win against Team USA in 12 attempts since 1980. In that time, the Stars and Stripes picked up no fewer than nine wins against the Canucks. However, Sunday’s hosts are unbeaten in their last two home fixtures against the United States, the most recent of which they emerged victorious from, while they delivered an encouraging performance earlier in this campaign. When the pair met earlier in qualifying, a 1-1 draw was played out on US soil. On that occasion, it was the hosts who had the better of the encounter in terms of possession, though they failed really to pack a punch, merely matching their opponents for shots on target, despite seeing considerably more of the ball.

Canucks vs USMNT: Where’s the bet?

With the lines the way they are right now, the Canadians are hard to oppose. They come into this fixture as top dogs in the group, while they have being doing a better job than the US of hurting teams in recent times. The manner in which the hosts recently caused Mexico all manner of problems on the counter bodes well ahead of a fixture against an American side that will try to dictate possession, as was the case when the teams met back in September of last year.

David to do the damage

If a player prop is your thing, then consider Canada’s Jonathan David as a scorer on Sunday. The 22-year-old has been something of a revelation in Europe, tormenting defences in Belgium, before taking his game to the next level at Lille over the last couple of seasons.

Scorer of the second goal last time out, David has and impressive 21 goals in just 25 games for Canada, and eight of his goals for the Canucks have come in World Cup qualifying.

Moreover, the forward is averaging 0.66 goals per 90 minutes in Ligue 1 this season, as well as 0.54 expected goals and 2.04 shots. Such stats are hard to ignore, and it would be little surprise if the explosive goal-getter has a big say in the outcome of this one. So these are our betting predictions and picks for this Canada vs USA soccer preview:

  • Canada to win on the moneyline @ +205 with BetOnline. It is +200 with EveryGame and +180 with Bovada.
  • Jonathan David to score at any time @ +270 with Bovada.