After any Major, the tournament that follows has a lot to live up to. Fields generally become more mixed in terms of quality with the big names missing. This week it is the turn of the Charles Schwab Challenge 2022 to keep us entertained following the drama of the PGA Championship.
This competition has been on the Tour since 1946 when the first edition was won by the great Ben Hogan. For 2022, there is actually a very strong field with many of the world’s top players choosing to stay on the Tour following Sunday’s late finish.
Last week at the second Major of the year, we took a return on Will Zalatoris in the Top Ten markets. At +280 it wasn’t quite enough to earn an overall profit but we’ve had a good recent run and we’ll look for it to continue down in Fort Worth, Texas.
That strong field includes the current World Number One and Scottie Scheffler starts as the narrow favorite at industry best odds of 11/1. Surprisingly, Scheffler missed the cut at the PGA Championship but there is a theory that the extra two days of rest could work in his favor.
Behind the market leader, the most recent Major champion is close behind at odds of 12/1. Justin Thomas came from behind to win in a playoff on Sunday and he can either rise to the top on a tide of momentum or he can fall away after a draining four days.
In a packed top section, Jordan Spieth follows at 12/1. Unlike many of those with shorter odds, the native Texan has an exceptional record in this event. Spieth was a Charles Schwab Challenge Champion in 2016 and he has three runners up slots in 2015, 2017 and 2021.
Another man with a runners up slot in this event squeezes in at a top price of 16/1. Collin Morikawa finished second to Daniel Berger after a playoff in 2020 but his form is missing coming into Thursday.
At the head of the next group in the odds, Viktor Hovland and Will Zalatoris can both be found at a best of 22/1. Like all golfers, Zalatoris may find it difficult to respond after the disappointment of that playoff loss on Sunday. Hovland started the season as the best golfer on the circuit but his form has dipped so much that he isn’t even included in the Power Rankings.
Max Homa and Sam Burns are available at 30/1, followed by Sungjae Im and Daniel Berger at 33/1. As we’ve seen, Berger was the winner here two years ago while Homa has the better form with a recent win and a tie for 13th on Sunday.
Other golfers to consider from within this section include Tommy Fleetwood, Tony Finau and Webb Simpson who can all be found at best odds of 40/1. Finau is another former Charles Schwab Challenge runner up, having finished second by four strokes to Kevin Na in 2019.
There is such good depth to this week’s field that the defending champion kicks off the list of outsiders at a best of 45/1. Jason Kokrak edged out Jordan Spieth by two strokes twelve months ago, but he has done little in recent weeks to suggest he’s ready for a successful defense.
Also available at 45/1 is Billy Horschel while another former Champion, Chris Kirk, is out at a top price of 50/1. Kirk beat off a chasing pack that included Jordan Spieth by one stroke in 2015.
Others to consider from within the outsiders include Mito Pereira at 50/1, Davis Riley at 50/1, Gary Woodland at 55/1, Kevin Na at 55/1 and Justin Rose at 66/1.
Our Preview’s Charles Schwab Challenge Predictions & Picks with Course & Betting Trends
The Colonial Country Club at Fort Worth, Texas is the setting for the 2022 edition of the Charles Schwab Challenge. It is a par 70 course and it comes in at a relatively average length, just in excess of 7,200 yards.
There is, however, nothing average about the par 5 11th which clocks in at a monster 635 yards. Along with the first hole, these two frequently rank among the toughest par 5s on Tour.
Power can help in places but accuracy is also vital as players target tiny, fast greens. Last year on his way to victory, Jason Kokrak ranked high in Strokes Gained and in Greens in Regulation.
Ben Hogan won that first edition and he holds the overall tournament record with five titles. Beyond that, multiple wins are relatively rare. No other player has won the Charles Schwab Challenge more than twice while the last man to ‘double up’ was Zach Johnson back in 2012.
The man who has come closest to breaking that run is the 2016 champion Jordan Spieth. We’re reluctant to tip anyone two weeks in a row but he fits the profile at Colonial perfectly. He didn’t perform well for us last week, but he has the stats and the previous record to convert this time around. These are the Charles Schwab Challenge betting predictions and picks for this preview:
- Jordan Spieth to win at +1200 (12/1) with Bovada, EveryGame or BetOnline.
- Top 10 Finish Picks (odds with BetOnline, who are top price on all these golfers): Spieth (+155), Tommy Fleetwood (+375), Jason Kokrak (+400) and Billy Horschel (+400).
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.