The climax of the European Tour is this week as the season’s Race to Dubai comes to a conclusion. A gruelling few months has produced dramatic golf on both sides of the Atlantic and while the Race itself remains open to just one or two players, the DP World Tour Championship is a prestigious event with a big purse up for grabs.
This is also the biggest tournament of the week with the strongest field and many of the names at the top of the outright winner betting odds will need no introduction to readers in the US.
It has been a strong comeback year for Rory McIlroy (+450 or 9/2 with Bovada) who enjoys a clear lead at the top of the outright market. Since the start of 2019, Rory has won no fewer than four PGA tournaments including success earlier this month at the WGC HSBC Champions.
The Northern Irishman is also a double winner of the DP World Tour Championship with successes coming in 2012 and 2015 so McIlroy is clearly a worthy favorite for the treble.
The closest golfer to Rory McIlroy in the eyes of the USA online bookies is Jon Rahm (+650), the Spaniard who has already won twice on the European Tour this season. Rahm may not have quite made the positive inroads in the United States that he would have liked but victory in the Zurich Classic with Ryan Palmer back in April suggests there is more to come.
Next up is the highest ranked American in the field. Patrick Reed (+1800) is a regular visitor to this tour and he has challenged for the Race to Dubai in the past. Reed was also a runner up last year to Danny Willett and will have plenty of support in the markets.
Following Reed are the two most recent winners on Tour. Tommy Fleetwood (+1600) and Tyrell Hatton (+1800) claimed the Nedbank Challenge and Turkish Airlines Open respectively so form is strong for the English pair.
Also in this section of the odds are Justin Rose, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Louis Oosthuizen and Henrik Stenson. Of those four, Stenson won in two consecutive years from 2013 and the Swede holds the aggregate, lowest four-round record in this tournament.
It is strange to see the leader in the Race to Dubai as a relative outsider this week but for some reason, the sportsbooks aren’t keen on Bernd Wiesberger’s (+2800 or 28/1) chances. The Austrian has won no fewer than three tournaments this year and will surely provide some top 10 finish betting value at the very least.
At a similar price to Wiesberger are Paul Casey and Open Champion Shane Lowry and then we come to some fresh new talents. Robert MacIntyre (33/1) has been at the top end of a few leaderboards at the end of the season while Matthias Schwab (33/1) gave us a profit in the top 10 market at the Turkish Airlines Open.
Other names to consider from the outside bunch include defending champion Danny Willett plus Francesco Molinari, Sergio Garcia, Matt Wallace and America’s Kurt Kitayama.
Our Preview’s DP World Tour Championship Course & Betting Trends with Predictions & Betting Picks Verdict
Since its inception in 2009, this event has been held on the Earth Course at Jumeirah Golf Estates in Dubai. The venue is a par 72 and there is some serious length at 7675 yards so this will benefit the distance hitters in places.
This Greg Norman-designed course also has wide fairways so it can be forgiving but there are plenty of bunkers and a punishing finish with an Island Green on the 17th and water in play on the last two holes.
We have already seen that there have been two multiple winners of this tournament since its recent inception in 2009. Rory McIlroy and Henrik Stenson have claimed the DP World Tour Championship on two occasions each so we are not necessarily looking for a first time winner.
The golfer that fits our profile is Jon Rahm who has all the qualities and relevant stats to succeed on this course. The Spaniard also has good form throughout the season and he won this tournament in 2017, so clearly it is a favored venue.
Rahm’s win odds may look a little short but we think he is a strong pick. If, however, you want a little more value, the three top 10 finish picks can add to what will hopefully be a profitable four days from Dubai. These are our DP World Tour Championship predictions:
- Jon Rahm to win at +650 with Bovada, Intertops or BetOnline.
- Top 10 finish picks: Patrick Reed, Bernd Wiesberger and Thomas Pieters (Bovada will have odds shortly).
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.