Next up on the PGA Tour is a long-established event at one of the most iconic venues in the US. Torrey Pines is the location for the Farmers Insurance Open 2022, which was first run back in 1952.
It’s an important golf tournament and it’s drawn the most competitive field of the season so far with many of the world’s best in play. Last week at the American Express, we claimed a return as Will Zalatoris finished inside the top ten so let’s see if we can build on that with our picks and betting predictions for this preview, as we make the brief journey to San Diego.
Jon Rahm is in contention once again with most United States’ sports gambling sites listing him as clear favorite at a general 7/1. The Spaniard led the markets for the American Express and, while he finished down in a tie for 14th, the trends are much better for the Farmers.
This marked the scene of Rahm’s first ever Tour win in 2017 and he followed up with his first Major at Torrey Pines four years later. In short, he is a perfect fit for the dual courses in play.
Behind the leader, there is a gap to Justin Thomas who slots in as second favorite at 12/1. JT hasn’t played in the Farmers Insurance Open for six years but did take part in the 2021 US Open at Torrey Pines where he finished in 19th.
A further gap follows before Xander Schauffele heads up the chasing pack at 18/1. He was one of five runners-up last year, albeit with a five-shot deficit behind the winner Patrick Reed. That was followed by a tie for seventh here at the US Open so Schauffele appears to be another good fit for the course.
Next up is Hideki Matsuyama who comes into Thursday with good form and some excellent, relevant stats. The Japanese player was a winner last time out at the Sony Open and his accuracy from tee to green could be pivotal once again.
Matsuyama is on offer at 20/1 as are Bryson DeChambeau, Dustin Johnson and Daniel Berger. Despite a relatively lofty position in the markets, none of those golfers feature in the top ten Power Rankings this week. Clearly there is quality there but extended rests and a lack of any success in this tournament makes this preview wary.
Other names to consider from among the chasers include Sam Burns at 25/1, Tony Finau at 28/1, plus Sungjae Im and Scottie Scheffler at 30/1. Of those names, Finau could be the one to watch with four top ten finishes, including a runners-up slot last year.
Fresh from his tie for sixth at the American Express, Will Zalatoris leads up the outsiders this week at best odds of 33/1. It is good to see him back in the top ten but Zalatoris now needs to add greater consistency to his game.
Just behind are Brooks Koepka and Marc Leishman who can both be found at 35/1. Leishman is another former champion, having claimed the Farmers Insurance Open title in 2020 when he pushed Jon Rahm into second place by one stroke. The Australian made his debut in this event way back in 2009 and he has six top 20 finishes including four inside the top ten.
Other names from a long list of outside punts include Jordan Spieth at 35/1, Max Homa at 50/1, Patrick Reed at 50/1, Matthew Wolff at 55/1, Ryan Palmer at 60/1 and Justin Rose at 66/1.
We’ve just mentioned two more Farmers Open winners. Patrick Reed is the defending champion while Justin Rose took the trophy by two shots from Adam Scott in 2019. Neither is in the best of form right now but previous success can be an indicator moving forward.
Before we move on to our predictions and picks verdict for this Farmers Open preview, it is worth just mentioning Brandt Snedeker at 100/1 and Scott Stallings at 200/1. Those odds look potentially too long and these are two more golfers with strong records in this tournament. Snedeker is a two-time winner – in 2012 and 2016 – and was also a runner up twice. Stallings was the Farmers Insurance Open champion in 2014 before losing out in a playoff to Jason Day a year later.
Our Preview’s Farmers Insurance Open Course & Betting Trends with Picks & Predictions Verdict
Two courses are in play at Torrey Pines. Players split the first two rounds between the North and the South while the South takes over for the final two rounds. Both are par 72s but the South has significantly greater distance at some 7,765 yards.
This is the longest on the PGA Tour and it has thrown up an interesting trend. All three previous champions have opened up on the shorter, and easier, North course.
Driving Distance can be a factor overall: Greens in Regulation doesn’t tend to come into play but Patrick Reed led the field for Putts per GIR last year and that is worth noting.
The issue for us this week is the number of sleepers in the field – top ranked golfers who are coming back after extended breaks with no form and no real record in this event. Of those names, Dustin Johnson could be a standout. 2021 was largely a year to forget after a stunning 2020 but a return to form can’t be far away.
The venues and format suit his game and Johnson has good stats and a good claim this week. So these are our Farmers Insurance Open predictions and betting picks for this preview:
- Dustin Johnson to win @ best odds of +2200 (22/1) with BetOnline.
- Top 10 Finish Picks (best odds in brackets): DJ (+260 BetOnline), Ryan Palmer (+650 BetOnline), Daniel Berger (+260 BetOnline) and Max Homa (+550 EveryGame, BetOnline).
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.