February on the PGA Tour takes in some long-established events: Straight after the Phoenix Open which saw Scottie Scheffler come through after an extended play off, we move across to the Riviera Country Club for the 2022 Genesis Invitational.
First held in 1926, the nature of its invitational status means that we can usually expect to see a strong field on the course. Golfers are also just starting to look ahead to the US Masters in April as the year’s first Major draws closer.
Our tip for the win last week was Hideki Matsuyama who remained in contention before eventually finishing three shots off the pace. He gave us a good run for our money but let’s see if we can land some winners this time around with our Genesis predictions and betting picks for this preview.
Spain’s Jon Rahm has been a consistent figure on Tour over the last few weeks and he is back ahead of Thursday’s first tee time. He remains as the number one ranked golfer in the world and therefore starts as clear favorite at 9/1.
Rahm has returned some solid results this year without ever quite looking like he’ll get over the line. In three previous visits to the Genesis Invitational his worst result was a tie for 17th.
Behind the market leader, we have a clear gap to Patrick Cantlay and Justin Thomas who can both be found at 14/1 in most places. Thomas was a runner up by one stroke to JB Holmes in 2019 but has missed the cut on both occasions since then.
Cantlay is one of the form golfers this week after finishing level with Scottie Scheffler on Sunday. He is in good touch but will need to respond to the disappointment of losing out on the third playoff hole.
Dustin Johnson returns to the circuit and is looking to put a subdued 2021 behind him. A year earlier, DJ was the man to beat in the Majors and the FedEx Cup but form and niggling injuries have been a concern since then.
Johnson is on offer at best industry odds of 16/1 and his record at the Genesis Invitational suggests that this could be the time to back him. He was a champion in 2017 and has two runners up slots among ten top 10 finishes.
Collin Morikawa had switched to Europe in recent weeks and some modest results mean that he is out at 20/1 this time. Also available at 20/1 are Rory McIlroy and Cameron Smith so this is a strong field heading down to Riviera. Of those three, McIlroy has the better record in this tournament while Smith is the form player with a win already in 2022.
Moving through the betting lines from the major American-facing sportsbooks, Hideki Matsuyama, Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele and Viktor Hovland are all quoted at 25/1. Scheffler is our most recent winner on Tour while all three have returned some impressive results at the start of the new year.
Other names that you may want to take a look at in this section might include Will Zalatoris at 28/1, Sungjae Im at 33/1 and Sam Burns at 33/1. Zalatoris could be one to watch and is rested following his recent playoff loss at Torrey Pines.
The outsiders are headed up this week by Brooks Koepka and Matt Fitzpatrick who can be claimed at best odds of 40/1. Both men offered challenges last week and Fitzpatrick will have some confidence having tied for fifth here last year.
Next up is the most successful man in this event since Arnold Palmer completed his third victory in 1967. Bubba Watson also has three wins, in 2014, 2016 and 2018. Overall, the left hander has eight top 20 finishes here and Bubba will attract interest at 45/1.
Jordan Spieth is also available at 45/1 while Adam Scott and Tony Finau are both quoted at 50/1. This is a course that can suit Finau and he has two runner-up slots. One of the men that eased Finau into second place is our defending champion Max Homa who is some way back at best odds of 55/1.
Others to mention in the outside bunch include Marc Leishman at 55/1, Russell Henley at 70/1, Sergio Garcia at 80/1, Kevin Na at 80/1, Paul Casey at 80/1 and Patrick Reed at 90/1.
Our Preview’s Genesis Invitational 2022 Golf Course & Betting Trends with Picks & Predictions Verdict
The Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades is the permanent home of the Genesis Invitational and it has previously hosted three Major tournaments. It is a par 71 course but has some reasonable length at just over 7,300 yards with three par 5s in play.
Distance hitting can be rewarded in places and players should be looking to cash in on those Par 5s. In 2021, champion Max Homa co-led the field in Par 5 scoring while also ranking highly in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and Putts per Greens in Regulation.
A strong all-round approach is needed and one player who could mirror those stats from last year is Justin Thomas. His overall record in this tournament needs improving and JT is due a win. Based on the demands of this course, Thomas looks a solid fit and this preview adds in some additional top 10 finish suggestions, which will look to get us back to profitable ways. So these are the Genesis predictions and betting picks:
- Justin Thomas to win @ best odds of +1800 (18/1) with BetOnline.
- Top 10 Finish Betting Picks (all odds from BetOnline who are best-priced on all these selections): JT (+180), Will Zalatoris (+310), Matt Fitzpatrick (+400) and Tony Finau (+450) for top 10 finishes.
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.