It has been through a number of name changes in a history that stretches back for nearly a hundred years. Established in 1926 as the Los Angeles Open, the Genesis Invitational is back in 2021 and takes its regular place as the final tournament on the West Coast Swing.
Next week we will be on the other side of the US in Florida but for now, we’re staying in California for an event which has an exceptionally strong field this year.
Last time out we had another close call in the outright winner betting as Patrick Cantlay tied for third at Pebble Beach. However, we did take two returns in the top 10 finish betting odds markets as both Paul Casey and Max Homa sealed single digit finishes. Let’s see if we can carry that momentum over at the Riviera Country Club.
Dustin Johnson made a late withdrawal from last week’s Pebble Beach Pro Am but he’s listed as returning for a tournament that he won back in 2017. DJ heads the market by some margin at a best of 6/1 and that Genesis Invitational victory is one of nine top ten finishes at this Riviera Course.
Johnson clearly has a solid record here but his short price is mainly down to form. Since golf returned following its unscheduled break last year, he has five wins including the Masters and a FedEx Cup success.
Dustin Johnson’s form is underlined by the fact that we have a sizable gap to joint second favorites. Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy can both be found at best odds of 12/1 in places and there will be plenty of interest in the pair at those numbers.
Neither of our second favorites has won this event but Rory has the better record with two top five finishes in four attempts at Riviera.
The sportsbooks’ market remains tight for now with both Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele on offer at 14/1. Their presence underlines the strength of the field and both men can be live contenders based on solid recent form. Thomas was a solo runner up behind JB Holmes in 2019 but he did throw away a four-shot lead in the closing stages. Schauffele briefly held the lead in the FedEx chase and has three second placed finishes so far this season.
Next up are Patrick Cantlay who is fresh from his tie for third on Sunday and Bryson DeChambeau who returns after a break. Both men are listed at 16/1 in places and DeChambeau interests us due to holding some strong relevant stats which we’ll analyze more closely in our Genesis Invitational predictions’ verdict.
The strength in depth continues with Brooks Koepka at 22/1 and Tony Finau at 25/1. Finau was a runner up to Bubba Watson in 2018 while Koepka returns for the first time since winning at TPC Scottsdale.
At best odds of 30/1, it may be unkind to list Daniel Berger as an outside bet, particularly as he is the most recent winner on Tour. Berger claimed the Pebble Beach Pro Am by two shots but we’ve already seen that he’s in a much tougher field this week.
Close behind are Collin Morikawa and Viktor Hovland at 33/1 while Jordan Spieth and Adam Scott are both on offer at 35/1. Spieth keeps threatening to break his long trophy drought but had issues in getting over the line on Sunday. Scott is the defending champion having claimed an unexpected victory by two shots 12 months ago.
Also in the outside bunch are Matthew Wolff, Kevin Na, Will Zalatoris, Sam Burns, Gary Woodland and Rickie Fowler. It’s such a strong field and this is the toughest tournament to call so far this year and it is therefore time to see what it will take to get over the line.
Our Preview’s Genesis Invitational Predictions & Picks Verdict with Course & Betting Trends
The Riviera Country Club was originally one of the earlier venues for this tournament and the course has been a continuous host since 1999. The venue is a par 71 but it is an unusual one with three tough par 5s and respectable length at 7,322 yards.
Par 5 scoring can be an obvious bonus but last year’s winner, Adam Scott, ranked a modest 37th in this category. The Australian succeeded thanks to low scores on the tricky par 4s and he led the field in Greens in Regulation. Distance was a factor last year with Scott ranking eighth and he finished third in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green.
Those stats won’t always be replicated but they are a strong indicator and one man who can deliver on those rankings is Bryson DeChambeau. We know that he has the power off the tee but, in his tie for fifth last year, The Scientist ranked fifth in GIR and second in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green.
There is more to Bryson’s game than sheer muscle and he is our pick this week. Add in some top 10 finish picks and we’ll aim for another profitable week. So these are our Genesis Invitational predictions and concluding betting picks for this preview:
- Bryson DeChambeau to win @ +1600 with Bovada or Intertops.
- DeChambeau, Collin Morikawa, Will Zalatoris and Daniel Berger for top 10 finishes. All of Bovada, Intertops & BetOnline will have odds for the top 10 shortly.
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.