After a week’s break, the PGA Tour returns with one of the last meaningful golf events of 2022. The Hero World Challenge 2022 is hosted by Tiger Woods and it is a small field with top players who feature on an invitational basis.
It debuted as the Williams World Challenge in 2000 and Woods’ dominance would eventually see him take on those hosting duties. In the present day, the Albany Golf Course in the Bahamas is the venue on a lengthy surface that can benefit the power hitters.
It may be a restricted field but many of the world’s best are in attendance this year, so let’s see if we can make some profits from a thrilling four days of golf with our Hero World Challenge predictions and picks for this preview.
Jon Rahm is finding his best form at the start of the new season and he starts as favorite to win the Hero World Challenge at best industry odds of 13/2. Rahm was the winner of this tournament in 2018 and a runner up by one stroke to Henrik Stenson a year later, so this course clearly suits his game. Form is also solid in the Rahm camp. He has two wins in his last three starts and most recently claimed the DP World Championship at the end of the European season.
Following the market leader is Scottie Scheffler at a top price of 8/1. Scottie won the Masters in April, but has spent the second half of the year searching for the form that took him to the top of golf’s rankings. He was the runner-up to Viktor Hovland here 12 months ago, and has started the season in better touch with a tie for third in Mexico.
Tony Finau leads the next group in the betting odds at a best of 10/1. He is in scorching form with three wins in his last seven starts and the length of this Albany course should suit his game. Finau was a runner up to Jon Rahm on debut here in 2018.
Next up are Xander Schauffele and Justin Thomas who are both quoted at 11/1 in places, while Matt Fitzpatrick and Viktor Hovland are available at 14/1. Hovland is the defending champion after edging out Scottie Scheffler by one stroke and he has enjoyed a consistent 2022 since that point.
Thomas could also be one to watch: He has yet to win this event, but the course suits him and he has tied for fifth in each of the previous two editions.
Others to mention in the chasing pack include Sung Jae-Im at 16/1, plus Tommy Fleetwood, Sam Burns, Cameron Young and Collin Morikawa who can all be found at 20/1 in places. Fleetwood may be competitive after making a welcome return to form with a win on the DP World Tour this month.
The outside pack rarely starts at 22/1, but this is a small field and there will be shorter odds than for most golf tournaments. Jordan Spieth starts at that figure and he was the champion in 2014 when the Hero World Challenge was played at Isleworth.
Also at a best of 22/1 are Tom Kim and Shane Lowry who both enjoyed tournament wins last season. Kim is very much seen as golf’s rising star after opening the new campaign with his second Tour win at the Shriners Championship.
Max Homa is next at 25/1 and then we have a gap to Billy Horschel at 33/1. There are only two more golfers in contention and they are Corey Conners at 40/1 and Kevin Kisner at 80/1.
Of those names, Conners could be one to watch. He is a late replacement for the injured Hideki Matsuyama and the Canadian excels in windy conditions which could be a factor this week.
Our Preview’s Hero World Challenge Course & Betting Trends with Predictions & Picks Verdict
The Albany Course at New Providence has been the permanent venue for the Hero World Challenge since 2015. It is a par 72 with some serious length at around 7,414 yards.
Power can be rewarded, but the wind is expected to play a bigger part than in recent years. Accuracy will come to the fore as players look to hit into small greens which average out at around 4,500 square feet.
Par 5 scoring will also be an indicator. On his way to victory in 2021, Viktor Hovland made four eagles. Three of those came at the drivable 307 yard fourth, but there are five par 5s here and they should all be targeted.
The wind element will challenge him, but our tip for the win this week is Tony Finau. He is in exceptional form and this course is set up for his power. He has aligned greater accuracy to his game and Finau is in good touch with the putter too. The odds in the top 10 finish betting markets are very short in this restricted field so we’ll stick to our win bet only. So this is the one selection for our Hero World Challenge predictions and betting picks:
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.