Established in 1946, the Houston Open is one of the oldest remaining golf tournaments on the PGA circuit. It is held in high regard among players and that generally means that we can look forward to a strong field each year. In 2022, that field is mixed but there is some quality, and it is led by a man with the Number One World Ranking in his sights.
Last time out in Mexico, Seamus Power delivered his second top 10 finish profit in succession as he came home in third place. The Irishman really is one of golf’s rising stars right now, but who are the players looking to compete down in Texas this week? Read on for our full Houston Open preview, predictions & betting picks.
Scottie Scheffler has the number one world ranking in his sights. He narrowly missed out on climbing back to the top on Sunday, but a final round 62 in Mexico suggests that he is back to his best. Scheffler was also one of two runners up to reigning Houston Open champion Jason Kokrak. Both he and Kevin Tway were two shots adrift twelve months ago. On the way to that second place, Scottie hit another 62 which is a course record. He is quoted at short best odds of 6/1 for the win this year, and he’s so far ahead of the chasing pack that nobody else can really be included in this favorites section.
Sam Burns is a distant second favorite at a top price of 14/1. He is tied for seventh in each of two visits to the Houston Open, but is struggling to find his touch from the start of last season.
Just behind is Aaron Wise at 16/1 and he could be one to watch this week. His record on this Memorial Park course is solid, but he has the game and the form to convert on Sunday.
Moving through, Hideki Matsuyama and Tony Finau can both be found at 22/1 with the online sportsbooks for USA players and they are followed by Maverick McNealy and Russell Henley at 25/1. Henley is the most recent winner on Tour while Finau’s power hitting can certainly benefit from the extra distance on this course.
McNealy is also attracting interest after a consistent few months. He has enjoyed four straight Top 20 finishes on Tour and hasn’t finished outside of that Top 20 in two visits to the Houston Open.
Others to consider include Taylor Montgomery at 28/1, Jason Day at 30/1 and Denny McCarthy at 30/1. Of those names, it is worth remembering that McCarthy finished in a tie for 11th here last year after hitting 64 in the final round.
At the head of the outsiders this week are Davis Riley, Si Woo Kim, Matthew NeSmith and Joel Dahmen who are all quoted at 50/1 in places. Dahmen could be the one to watch; he tied for fifth here in 2022 and tied for 3rd in Mexico at the weekend.
Further back, Taylor Pendrith and Taylor Moore are both at 60/1, followed by Adam Hadwin and Keith Mitchell at 66/1. On the outer fringes of this section, Sepp Straka is at 80/1, Cameron Champ at 100/1, Justin Rose at 110/1, Danny Willett at 125/1 and Charley Hoffman at 150/1.
Our 2022 Houston Open Preview’s Course & Betting Trends with Predictions & Betting Picks Verdict
The Memorial Park Municipal Golf Course in Houston has been the host for the majority of this tournament’s 76 year history. It is a par 72 but it is something of a monster with some 7,432 yards between the first tee and the 18th hole. There are three par 5s in play, each of which ranks inside the Top 40 toughest on the PGA Tour.
Power and putting is usually the desired combination on this course. Accuracy is also important with lush Bermuda rough that has been allowed to extend to two and a half inches in places. Those greens can hit 12 on the Stimpmeter and have proved tricky to read in the recent past.
As for the winner, Scottie Scheffler does make an excellent case. He has a good record in this event and that closing round 62 in Mexico suggests that his form is peaking at just the right time.
If you are unable to see an alternative, it may be the week to focus on the top 10 finish betting odds markets, unless you are happy with Scheffler’s short odds of 6/1. This preview suspects, however, that there will be some challenges with Aaron Wise, Russell Henley and Maverick McNealy all posing a threat.
Of those three, Wise may have the best claim and he is our pick for the win. He has good, relevant stats and form is moving in the right direction. We were seriously tempted by Henley and McNealy so will include them top 10 finish picks. Here are our Houston Open betting predictions and picks for this preview:
- Aaron Wise to win @ +1800 (18/1) with Bovada and BetOnline. He is 16/1 with EveryGame.
- Top 10 Finish Picks (odds in brackets are all from BetOnline, the only one to publish prices on this so far): Aaron Wise (+210), Maverick McNealy (+260), Russell Henley (+300), Charley Hoffman (+1200).
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.