One team is the definitive favorite today in a matchup in Oakland between the 21-26 New York Knicks and the 37-10 Golden State Warriors (10:30 p.m. ET Tuesday).
New York is on a stretch of just four wins in 16 games and has a measly record of 6-17 away from Madison Square Garden. On the other hand, the Warriors have won nine of their last 11 games.
Maybe most importantly, Golden State is coming off a loss against the Houston Rockets. Since the beginning of the 2015-16 season, the Warriors have a 30-3 record in games directly following a loss, including a plus-12.8 point differential in those games.
Golden State should win decisively against New York, but weirder upsets have happened. Let’s break down the key factors in this matchup that will affect the betting lines before making our Knicks vs Warriors predictions and picks.
Can Enes Kanter Stay On the Floor And Out of Foul Trouble?
The Warriors are not a good matchup against slow big men who are also defensively challenged. Kanter meets those qualifications. He’s a very skilled low-post center who can score and rebound inside with the best of his peers, but he becomes a liability when he is taken far away from the basket.
Golden State likes to target the defensive weaknesses of its opponents, and that’s Kanter for the Knicks. The Warriors will put him in lots of pick-and-rolls and try to get him in foul trouble.
But if Kanter can stay effective enough on defense and avoid fouls, he can actually be a problem for the Warriors. His combination of size, strength and skill is unmatched by any Warriors player.
Will the Warriors Keep Their Turnover Issues Under Control?
Heading into the Warriors’ game against the Rockets on Saturday, they had started to get their turnovers under control. In Golden State’s previous nine games, it had averaged just 13.2 miscues per game.
However, that changed against Houston. The Warriors gave the ball away 19 times, leading to 14 Rockets steals. Golden State is now 1-3 this season when its opponent steals the ball 14 times or more.
New York is not a team that will play tight pressure defense or fly around for lots of steals. That said, Golden State has struggled handling the ball even against weaker defensive teams in the past. That can’t happen again.
Will Tim Hardaway Jr. Continue Going Supernova from Three-Point Range?
The Knicks’ three-point shooting is a weakness for the team. They rank last in made three-pointers per game, though their accuracy (36.9 percent, seventh in the NBA) is solid. Golden State, meanwhile, is very dangerous from downtown (fifth in makes per game and first in accuracy).
Hardaway is the main player for New York who has a chance to bridge that gap. The 25-year-old shooting guard is 11-of-16 from downtown in his past two games, hitting basically half of his team’s shots from that range in those contests.
THJ is due for a regression to the mean at some point. But can he hold it off at least one more game against the best team in the NBA?
Our Preview’s New York Knicks at Golden State Warriors Betting Picks & Predictions
The Warriors are due a blowout win after losing to a tough opponent in the Rockets on Saturday. The Knicks, meanwhile, are just reeling and have seen a major regression to the mean on the defensive end after a good start to the year in that area.
Golden State should be focused in this game and put this one away relatively quickly. So these are this preview’s betting predictions:
- US oddsmakers are unanimously favoring the Warriors by 14 points in this game. Given the talent difference between these teams, their recent quality of play and the Knicks’ road futility, Golden State should cover. Bet on the Warriors -14 @ -110 with Bovada, Bookmaker, 5Dimes or BetOnline.
- This game should be decided on the early side, and the pace usually stays fast when the Warriors go up big on opponents. Add in that neither of these teams are playing well on defense right now, and a very high-scoring contest should be on the horizon. Bet on the over 227 @ -110 with any of 5Dimes, Bovada, MyBookie or BetOnline.