Manchester City may be cruising to yet another Premier League title but Saturday’s game (12.30pm ET) gives them one of the toughest challenges they’ve faced in recent weeks. Brendan Rodgers’ Leicester City sit in third place in the table and are looking to close down a Champions League slot for next season.
With the potential for home advantage to play a part, Leicester’s Foxes may just have the capacity to claim all three points, despite starting as the outside bet.
LCFC vs MCFC Moneyline Odds
Manchester City have lost just one game in all competitions since the end of November. That’s an incredible run and it has helped to make Pep Guardiola’s men clear favorites for Saturday’s encounter. Manchester City are available at -188 with most sportsbooks while the draw is the next option at around +300.
Completing the moneyline market is the win for Leicester City which is quoted at an industry best of +580. There may be few takers given Man City’s recent run but there are reasons why Leicester Foxes can hope for a point at the very least.
The form guide is actually very similar: Leicester have lost one of their last five while drawing one and winning each of their last three matches. Manchester City have also lost one in that same period but Saturday’s visitors have won all of their last four games.
A draw is certainly tempting at those +300 odds but, before we commit, we’ll take a look at the players who can decide the destiny of this match.
Leicester vs Man City Prop Bets
Manchester City broke the news that their all-time leading scorer, Sergio Aguero, would be leaving the club at the end of the season. The Argentinian international will be looking to end the season on a high and he is favorite to open the scoring on Saturday.
Aguero can be backed at +400 (4/1) while his teammates Gabriel Jesus, Riyad Mahrez and Raheem Sterling are all quoted at +500 in places. Further down the list, Leicester City’s first representative is former England striker Jamie Vardy who is out at 7/1.
All five of those players have prolific records which are worth considering. Raheem Sterling has delivered for us in the anytime markets in the past and is the one who offers most interest ahead of kick off.
In the team props section, Both Teams to Score offers better value than we might have expected. Both Manchester City and Leicester have scored 12 times in their last five games which is encouraging. However, Manchester City have recorded three shutouts in their last three matches and that’s why BTTS has reached an industry best of +100.
Total Combined Goals betting also shows some value. Backing Over the 2.5 goals line returns a general -125 but we can push that to Over 3.5 where we find odds at around the +200 mark.
That just leaves us with our regular correct score suggestions and we have a hunch that there might be a high scoring draw in this match. Our preference would be for a 2-2 final outcome and this is on offer at best industry odds of +1900 (19/1). Alternatively, readers might want to go for a 2-1 away win which is quoted at +800 while the same scoreline in favor of Leicester City is listed at a best of +2100.
There could be some definite value in this game which kicks off on Saturday at 17:30 local time but what are the best bets for Leicester City v Manchester City?
Leicester vs Man City Predictions & Betting Picks Verdict for this EPL Match Preview
Man City’s defensive stats suggest that they will keep things tight at the back but that mean defense will get a stiff test in this match. LCFC have scored eight times in their last two games and that record includes an impressive 3-1 victory over Manchester United.
That last result in particular suggests that the home team can have some confidence going into this fixture and that’s why we’ll confirm our original thoughts and go for the draw. A share of the points is our first pick and we think it should be a higher scoring 90 minutes. With that in mind, we’ll also confirm the Over 3.5 goals pick as the stats seem to back this up.
Our goal scorer pick is Raheem Sterling and we’ll take the relative safety of a goal in 90 minutes. The England winger hasn’t been as prolific as he was last season but he has nine goals in 25 league matches in 2019/20 and that’s still a good return for a man who plays behind the strikers.
It should certainly be an entertaining match but let’s look to these three Leicester vs Man City predictions and picks to make it a profitable EPL match preview.
- The draw @ best odds of +320 with Bovada.
- Raheem Sterling to score at any time (aka “to score at least 1”) @ +160 with BetOnline.
- Over 3.5 goals @ +195 with Bovada or +190 Intertops.
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.