Most football fans are relieved to see the Premier League return after an international break. Following two especially poor performances from the English national side, it can’t come back soon enough, so it’s good to see this game week start with a cracker.
Manchester City and Liverpool are both firmly in the title hunt, but mixed results in recent weeks mean that both sides need points to keep their challenges on track (7.30am ET; 12.30pm GMT Saturday). Read on for our full MCFC vs LFC preview, predictions, picks & betting tips.
With home advantage considered, Manchester City start as clear favorites with most American-friendly bookmakers offering odds of 7/10 on Pep Guardiola’s side. The draw is next at a top price of 7/2 while a win for Liverpool is on offer at best industry odds of 18/5.
Man City come into Saturday’s game as Premier League leaders, and their last game before the international break was a thrilling 4-4 draw away to Chelsea. A strong run of form within the Liverpool camp, means that the Reds are just one place and one point behind this weekend’s opponents.
The form guide is also fairly even with Liverpool having claimed 11 points from their last six EPL matches. Manchester City have picked up ten points in the same period. All of this suggests it should be much closer than those match odds suggest, but let us firstly look at some side bets before we make a verdict.
The first goalscorer market has a familiar look to it, with Erling Haaland leading the way at best odds of 3/1. There is an injury concern over the Norwegian after he picked up an ankle knock on international duty, but it is currently expected that he will line up on Saturday. Haaland has 13 goals in 12 League games so far this season.
Man City’s Julian Alvarez is next at 11/2, while Mohamed Salah will tempt many as Liverpool’s first option at a top price of 8/1. Moving through the list, other options for the first goal include Phil Foden at 9/1, Darwin Nunez at 9/1, Diogo Jota at 11/1 and Jack Grealish at 11/1.
In other side bets, Both Teams to Score is available for Saturday’s fixture at 1/2 in most places. Anyone looking to take the ‘no’ option on BTTS will find industry best figures of 13/8. The USA sportsbooks are clearly expecting a few goals in this game and that view is reflected in the Totals markets. A stake Over the 2.5 goal line is also listed at that short 1/2 price, but if we push to Over 3.5, the numbers climb above evens to 6/5. Anyone looking to go against these trends with a bet Under the 2.5 goal line will find odds of 8/5.
We’ll move on after some options in the Correct Score betting. Those match odds suggest that Manchester City will claim the points in a high scoring game, so there could be some interest in the 3-1 home win at best odds of 12/1. A 2-1 victory for Liverpool is on offer at 16/1, while the 2-2 draw can be backed at 12/1.
Our Preview’s MCFC vs LFC Predictions & Betting Picks Verdict
While the form guide is even, Liverpool have gone on a revival since losing to Spurs in controversial circumstances at the end of September. They are unbeaten in the League since that point and their only loss in all competitions came at Toulouse in the Europa League.
Manchester City have shown a tendency to stutter against the bigger clubs, with a draw at Chelsea and a defeat to Arsenal. A loss to Wolves is also a sign of their potential vulnerability.
One concern over a positive result for Liverpool is the Reds’ injury list with several players sidelined including Joe Gomez and Andy Robertson. If Erling Haaland does miss out for MCFC, that would obviously offer LFC more hope, but that seems unlikely.
It’s a tough call, but the draw on the moneyline is calling out to us here. The teams look evenly matched in the table and in the form guide. Liverpool are conceding home advantage, but that longer unbeaten run is hinting at a share of the points. We do agree with the sportsbooks that there should be a few goals in this fixture. Both Teams to Score is at short odds, while we could look at Over 3.5 goals at 6/5.
This preview will finish, however, by picking an any time goal for Liverpool’s Mo Salah. With City players dominating the goals markets, the Reds’ main striker has slipped down to tempting odds which are tough to turn down. Salah has ten League goals so far this season, and is in second place behind Haaland in the race for the Golden Boot. Odds of 8/1 for the first goal look generous, but we’ll settle on a price of +205 for a Salah goal in 90 minutes.
- The draw on the moneyline at best odds of +340 with BetOnline.
- Mohamed Salah to score at any time at +205 with Bovada or EveryGame. It is +200 with BetOnline.
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.