The Mexico Open 2022 at Vidanta, to give the tournament its full title, comes along to replace the WGC Mexico Championship. Players head south of the border to compete with some of the country’s leading golfers with Abraham Ancer the biggest hope for the home crowd.
It’s a mixed field with the majority of the world’s top ten choosing to sit this one out but that can often mean that we get a high odds name coming through to lift the trophy.
We came frustratingly close to a sizable return last weekend as our picks for the Zurich Classic finished as runners up. Sam Burns and Billy Horschel gave us a good run for our money but ultimately fell two shots behind. So let’s see if we can go one better this time with this Mexico Open preview and its betting picks and predictions.
The favorite in the betting lines with the American sportsbooks is way ahead of the rest of the field in the odds for this tournie. Jon Rahm is in contention and available with most outlets at around the 6/1 mark.
Rahm started the year as the world’s number one ranked golfer and, while he has been taken off his perch, the Spaniard still has some strong, relevant stats. Rahm ranks at the top of the Tour for Greens in Regulation and Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. He has been winless since the US Open last June, but he is the best player in the field by some distance.
The gap between the favorite and the chasing pack extends to Abraham Ancer who starts here at 20/1. Behind the Mexican, Gary Woodland and Tony Finau are both available at 22/1. Ancer will bring some useful local knowledge into his home open, and he also ranks highly for some relevant stats.
Woodland is just showing signs of a return to form following a slump while Finau is waiting for his first Top 25 finish in eight months.
Moving through the betting odds, Kevin Na is attracting interest at 28/1 and he is followed by Aaron Wise at 30/1. Na is in reasonable touch with a tie for 14th at the Masters being his major highlight. Other names to consider in this section include Patrick Reed, Chris Kirk, Cameron Tringale and Sebastien Munoz who are all on offer at 33/1 in places.
Cameron Champ heads up the outside bunch at odds of 40/1. Now fully recovered from a wrist injury, Champ is expected to start to deliver on his huge potential and a tie for 10th at the Masters suggests he is ready.
Elsewhere, Kevin Streelman, Brendon Todd and Matt Jones can all be claimed at 50/1, followed by Adam Long and Charles Howell III at 55/1. Australia’s Jones is among those attracting interest this week. Form is solid and, with so many big names missing, this is the type of field that can allow him to rise to the top.
Others worthy of a mention from the list of underdogs include Lanto Griffin at 65/1, Aaron Rai at 65/1, Carlos Ortiz at 70/1, Scott Piercy at 100/1 and Kurt Kitayama at 100/1. We’re into the realms of the rank outsiders now but there does seem to be some backing for Aaron Rai who tied for fourth recently at TPC Louisiana.
Our Betting Preview’s Mexico Open Course & Betting Trends with Predictions & Picks Verdict
The Mexico Open started in 1944 and, since 2013, it has been included as an event on the PGA Tour of Latin America. There were eight editions between 2013 and 2021 before the event was adopted by the main PGA circuit.
The tournament has a new home for this year’s edition. Vidanta Villarta is the setting on a Greg Norman designed course which is a lengthy par 71 at some 7,456 yards. Power hitters can enjoy some benefits, but it is expected that accuracy stats will be more pivotal over the four days.
There are plenty of hazards waiting for errant shots. The course has 106 bunkers, some of which are huge, while four of the five par 3 holes are played over water. Anything wayward will be punished this week.
A name that keeps coming back to us is that of Kevin Na. Back on the course following the birth of his third child, he seems relaxed and is hitting some low numbers on a consistent basis. Na has the accuracy stats and can certainly come through in a weakened field such as this one.
Kevin Na for the win, aided by three additional top ten picks, will hopefully add up to some profits as we head down Mexico way. So thee are our predictions and betting picks for this preview:
- Kevin Na to win at +3300 (33/1) with BetOnline. He is 28/1 with Bovada and 22/1 with EveryGame.
- Top 10 Finish Betting Picks (all odds with BetOnline, who are biggest on these golfers): Na (+240), Chris Kirk (+333), Cameron Champ (+500) and Matt Jones (+450).
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.