The bookies suggest that Saturday’s game at St James’s Park will be a routine win for the home side (10am ET; 3pm GMT). Newcastle United are heavy favorites, but Luton Town are on an impressive run, and the Hatters will be confident of causing an upset in this Premier League soccer clash.
Victory for Luton over Brighton on Tuesday lifted them out of the relegation zone, and recent results show a significant improvement from the start of the season. Even if you can’t see past the home win here, there are some interesting odds in the side markets. Read on for our betting predictions and picks for this preview.
Newcastle are comfortably below even money with all outlets, with many offering 2/5 on Eddie Howe’s men. The draw is the next available option at best industry odds at 4/1, while victory for Luton Town can be backed at a top price of 13/1.
Luton’s win over Brighton in midweek was emphatic. Rob Edwards’ team were 2-0 up inside three minutes, before cruising to a 4-0 victory over a strong Seagulls side. It means that the Hatters have now claimed nine points from their last six Premier League matches.
Newcastle United have taken fewer points over the same, six-game period, but they also enjoyed an excellent result in midweek. The Magpies travelled to top four rivals Aston Villa and came back with a 3-1 victory.
Luton have better form, while Newcastle have the home advantage, which might suggest a draw, but the greater depth of quality in the Magpies’ squad sees them installed as heavy favorites.
Elijah Adebayo was the hero for Luton Town on Tuesday, scoring three of his side’s four goals in their 4-0 win. With eight goals this season, Adebayo is Luton’s biggest goal threat, and he is out at a tempting 12/1 to score the first goal.
The favorite in the first goalscorer market is Newcastle’s Calum Wilson, who is listed at best odds of 10/3. Wilson’s strike partner Alexander Isak is next at 7/2, with Anthony Gordon a distant third favorite at 7/1.
Behind the front men, Newcastle’s unlikely goal hero on Tuesday was Fabian Schar. The center half scored his first two goals of the season against Aston Villa, and is out at 22/1 for the first goal on Saturday.
For Luton Town, midfielder Andros Townsend has been a threat from distance for his many clubs, and the midfielder is available at 16/1.
Away from the players, Both Teams to Score can be backed in this fixture at 7/10. If you prefer the ‘no’ option on BTTS, this rises above even money to best odds of 23/20.
Over in the Total Combined Goals betting, a stake over the 2.5 line will currently attract a top price of 4/7. If you’re expecting a feast of attacking play, Over 3.5 goals climbs to 13/10. Those who feel that Saturday’s game will be a quieter affair could look at Under 2.5 goals which is on offer at a bet of 6/4.
This preview will move on after listing some Correct Score suggestions. If you agree with the match odds and cannot see past a Newcastle win, a scoreline of Newcastle United 3 Luton Town 1 is quoted at best odds of 11/1. A 2-1 win for Luton is on offer at a top price of 22/1, while the 2-2 draw can be backed at a best of 18/1.
Our NUFC vs LTFC Preview’s Predictions & Betting Picks Verdict
The form guide suggests that, at the very least, this game should be closer than the match result market is telling us. Luton’s nine points from their last six games put them in ninth place in the form table, prior to Thursday night’s EPL games, so the team is not playing like a relegation-threatened club. Newcastle’s form is patchy in comparison, although we’d have been more comfortable backing a draw, if they hadn’t been so impressive at Aston Villa in midweek.
A share of the points is tempting, but this preview, with its predictions and picks, will play it safe by picking two side bets. We’d hoped Both Teams to Score would be higher, but Luton’s four goals at home to Brighton keeps the odds down. Over 3.5 goals is more generous at 13/10, so we’ll get behind that as we are expecting an attacking 90 minutes.
The second bet is in the anytime goalscorer betting market, where Anthony Gordon has been making important contributions from midfield. The former Everton man has seven goals for Newcastle in the Premier League, at a good ratio of one every three games.
Odds of 17/10 on an Anthony Gordon anytime goal look generous in an open game, where he should have plenty of chances to get on the scoresheet. So these are the betting tips and predictions for this NUFC vs LTFC preview:
- Over 3.5 Goals at best odds of +140 with EveryGame.
- Anthony Gordon to Score at any time at biggest odds of +185 with Bovada.
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.