Last updated February 12th, 2019
The appearance of 156 amateur golfers adds some entertainment to the Pebble Beach Pro-Am but it can also be a distraction for serious golf fans. However, this is a historic tournament, steeped in tradition set by the likes of Bob Hope and Bing Crosby and somehow, the Tour just wouldn’t be the same without it.
Rickie Fowler held on to win the Phoenix Open after a +3 last round on Sunday and it was a profitable weekend for us too. Both Gary Woodland and Matt Kuchar came home as top 10 finish picks, so let’s see if we can keep that run going this week.
The biggest news of the week is that Dustin Johnson (+600 with Bovada) returns to the US after a break and the former World Number One heads to the top of the Pebble Beach Pro-Am outright betting odds from the legal U.S. sports betting firms. DJ switched to Saudi Arabia last week and was happy with his decision as he took the Saudi International by a two-shot margin.
Johnson finished in a four-way tie for second place here last year so has the form and the course knowledge to go one better this time.
Dustin Johnson enjoys the biggest lead in the outright betting markets we have seen in 2019 so far. Several points behind at the head of the chasing pack is Jason Day (+1000) who, in turn, has an even bigger gap to the likes of Tommy Fleetwood (+2200). Aussie Day was also in that four-way tie for second twelve months ago but isn’t quite showing the form that took him to World Number One.
However, that tie for fifth at the Farmers Insurance Open two weeks ago has sparked interest in Jason Day and it’s worth noting that he has five top six finishes in this tournament. Fleetwood, in contrast, is making his debut here and has yet to get going this season.
Other strong contenders in the chasing pack include the in-form Matt Kuchar (25/1), plus Tony Finau (22/1), Jordan Spieth (20/1) and Phil Mickelson (25/1). Both Mickelson and Spieth are former champions with Lefty claiming his fourth Pebble Beach title in 2012 while Jordan claimed a solitary success in 2017.
The unlikely figure of Ted Potter jr (125/1) won this tournament last year and that victory underlines the unpredictable nature of this event. We may well have another long-priced winner in 2019 and there are plenty of interesting names in the outside bunch.
Potter returns for a defense but has been written off once again in the betting. A more likely contender could be Paul Casey (33/1) who leads the outside bunch with Chez Reavie (33/1), Patrick Reed (33/1) and Patrick Cantlay (25/1). Reavie was also in that tie for second in 2018 while Cantlay features strongly in the Power Rankings and could have the all-round game needed for success.
On the subject of Power Rankings, Brandt Snedeker (50/1) sits in third place in this week’s list but he is way down the outright betting markets. Sneds is a favorite of ours and he is also a multiple winner at Pebble Beach. The 38-year-old claimed his second victory in 2015 and in doing so, recorded the lowest aggregate to par at -22.
Snedeker has to be considered for a top 10 finish Pebble Beach prediction at the least and we are also interested in Branden Grace (33/1) who is a strong all-round golfer and very underrated. Elsewhere, other outside bets to consider this week include Shane Lowry (40/1), Cameron Champ (66/1), Kevin Kisner and JB Holmes (both 80/1). All four are being talked up in places and have the games to come from the back and deliver.
Our Preview’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Predictions Verdict with Course Trends & Betting Picks
The Pebble Beach Pro-Am is played on three different courses: They offer separate challenges so we are looking for a good all-rounder in terms of stats. Pebble Beach Links, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula are our venues and while two of those courses are par 72s, all three come in at under 7,000 yards.
Distance hitting will not be a bonus and scoring tends to be low so it could all come down to a battle with the flatstick. It’s a tough one and you may want to settle for top 10 bets only this week but we’ll opt for Tony Finau for a win wager. His power off the tee may be irrelevant but his form and overall game are threatening a big season on Tour. These are the 2019 Pebble Beach Pro-Am predictions & picks for this preview:
- Take Tony Finau to win at +2200 with Bovada. He is 20/1 with Intertops.
- Brandt Snedeker (+500), Branden Grace (+350) and Matt Kuchar (+225) for top 10 finishes, all those odds are with Bovada, who go biggest about all three.
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.