PGA Championship 2024 Odds, Preview, Predictions, Betting Picks: 20/1 Chance Your Rahm

Jon RahmThe second Major golf tournament of the season plays out this week and there is the strongest possible field assembling for the PGA Championship 2024. The Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky is a semi-regular stop for the big events and many of this week’s golfers will have experience of this challenging course.

The big news is that Scottie Scheffler returns to the Tour while the best of the LIV Golfers are here too. Let’s see what the USA-friendly sportsbooks make of this one with our PGA Championship predictions, preview & betting picks.

Scheffler’s return sees him installed as the clear favorite for the outright win at best industry odds of 13/2. He is the new Masters Champion and has won each of his last two events, so Scottie is an obvious market leader with the bookies. Will the break have been beneficial, or will the world’s number one lose his edge? If he is back to form, it’s hard to see past him.

Next at a top price of 15/2 is Rory McIlroy, who produced a stunning final round to win the Wells Fargo Championship on Sunday. McIlroy was the PGA champion when this tournament was last held at Valhalla in 2014 and he is also in supreme form coming into Thursday.

Behind the top two, there is a considerable gap to Brooks Koepka and Xander Schauffele who are both listed at 16/1. Koepka is the defending champion, having won this event at Oak Hill a year ago. He has the incredible record of winning three of the last six PGA Championships. Schauffele led for the first three rounds last week, before settling for the solo runner-up slot.

Next is Ludvig Aberg at 18/1, followed by Jon Rahm at 20/1. Aberg withdrew from last week’s tournament with a sore knee, but has been playing well with this issue for much of the season. Rahm’s tie for 45th at the Masters was a disappointing first return since his switch to LIV Golf.

Moving through, Bryson DeChambeau, Collin Morikawa and Max Homa are all quoted at 28/1 in places. Valhalla should suit DeChambeau’s power off the tee, while 2020 PGA Champion Morikawa has shown a return to form in recent weeks.

Other players to mention in this section include Joaquin Niemann and Patrick Cantlay at 30/1, followed by Tommy Fleetwood at 33/1. Fleetwood had a solid four days at the Wells Fargo Championship, before a quiet last round saw him settle for a tie for 13th.

The underdogs are led this time by Viktor Hovland and Cameron Smith who are both quoted at best industry odds of 45/1. Hovland was a joint runner-up behind Brooks Koepka last year.

Cameron Young, Wyndham Clark and Justin Thomas follow at 50/1. Both Clark and Thomas are Major winners, with Thomas claiming the PGA Championship in 2017 and 2022. It is a packed outsider section as you would expect, with several players who could upset the odds. Others who could make an impression this week include Jason Day at 60/1, Sahith Theegala at 66/1, Matt Fitzpatrick at 70/1, Tony Finau at 75/1, Jordan Spieth at 80/1, Sepp Straka at 90/1, and Stephan Jaeger at 100/1.

Our Preview’s PGCA Championship Course & Betting Trends with Predictions & Picks Verdict

Valhalla Golf Club has hosted three PGA Championships, with Mark Brooks, Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy winning on those occasions. Golf fans will also remember that the venue hosted the Ryder Cup in 2008. It is now a par 71 course with considerable length at 7,457 yards, and recent stats have shown that distance off the tee is an advantage here.

Accuracy is not quite as important with wide fairways in place, but there is punishing Kentucky bluegrass rough for anyone who strays too far. Water hazards are in play on seven holes, while some fairways are tree lined and therefore need extra care.

When Woods and McIlroy won here in 2000 and 2014 respectively, both ranked first for Driving Distance. Driving Accuracy and Greens in Regulation should also be useful stats across the four days. There is, however, the threat of rain all week, some of which could be persistent, and that may negate length off the tee.

It is another tough call, unless you are convinced that Scottie Scheffler can ease back into top form. That break, as he and his wife Meredith welcomed their first child, makes it harder to get behind the favorite with full conviction. Behind Scheffler, Rory McIlroy has won two tournaments in the last four weeks, and was in similar touch when he won here in 2014.

One player who could come through is Jon Rahm. His weak performance at the Masters was not encouraging, and some golfers can lose their edge after switching to LIV, but if he is on top of his game, he has the stats to succeed on this course. So these are our betting predictions and picks for this 2024 PGA Championship golf review: