After a brief stay in California, the PGA Tour remains in the west for the 2022 edition of the Phoenix Open. First held back in 1932, it is one of the oldest events still on the circuit and it’s one where we can generally expect to see a strong field.
Brooks Koepka won his second Phoenix Open title 12 months ago while current US Masters champion Hideki Matsuyama famously claimed back-to-back victories in 2016 and 2017. In general, the shorter priced golfers tend to come through but trends can always be broken.
We took another return last week as Seamus Power converted as one of our top 10 finish picks. So let’s see if we can keep the run going at TPC Scottsdale with our 2022 Phoenix Open predictions and picks for this preview.
Every time he is declared for an event this season, Spain’s Jon Rahm has started as a clear favorite. This week there is a big gap in the betting lines to the other players with the current world number one available at a general 7/1.
Rahm has yet to win this event but he has a solid record since tying for fifth as an amateur in 2015. In seven appearances, his worst return was a tie for sixteenth.
In second place is Justin Thomas, who trails behind Jon Rahm at 12/1. JT has finished in third place twice and has a perfect record of made cuts in four attempts.
The man with the best record at the Phoenix Open in recent years is Hideki Matsuyama whose two wins in 2016 and 2017 came on the back of a runner’s up slot a year earlier. Along with Patrick Cantlay, Hideki can be claimed at 15/1 with most of the best sports betting websites for American bettors and there will be definite interest in those odds.
As for Cantlay, each of his last five appearances on Tour have resulted in top 10 finishes but he makes his Phoenix Open debut this week.
Moving through the field, Viktor Hovland is at 18/1 followed by Jordan Spieth and Xander Schauffele who can both be backed at 20/1. Schauffele was one of two runners up behind Brooks Koepka last year while Spieth came so close to snatching victory after a late charge at the Pebble Beach Pro Am. Hovland is the form golfer and arrives back in the US after winning last time in Dubai.
Other players to consider from within this section include Scottie Scheffler and Daniel Berger who are both available at industry best odds of 28/1. There will be interest in both men but Scheffler has the better form coming into Thursday.
Brooks Koepka may be the defending Phoenix Open champion but injuries and a loss of form see him head up the list of the sportsbooks’ outsiders. Koepka is on offer at best odds of 33/1 for a successful defense and, while he is not on our list of likely winners, his performance this week will give us an indication of where his game is at right now.
In contrast to Brooks, Sam Burns is a rising star who has already lifted silverware on Tour. He is also quoted at a top price of 33/1 but needs to rediscover the momentum that he has lost after the Christmas break.
Another three former Phoenix Open champions are in this section: Webb Simpson is quoted at 45/1, Rickie Fowler is available at 90/1 and Gary Woodland is way out at 125/1. Clearly there is an issue with form in all three cases but previous success in any Tour event can sometimes be an indicator of a strong showing this time around.
It is a strong outside bunch of golfers with many other tempting options. Other players that we will be considering for this Phoenix Open include Louis Oosthuizen at 45/1, Seamus Power at 50/1, Harris English at 66/1, Abraham Ancer at 66/1, Max Homa at 75/1 and Matt Kuchar at 100/1.
Some big names may be missing but there is depth to this field so let’s see what it will take to win the 2022 Phoenix Open.
Our Preview’s Phoenix Open Golf Predictions 2022 with Picks plus Course & Betting Trends
The TPC Scottsdale Course provides a par 71 which offers some reasonable length at 7,261 yards. There are just three par 5s and, with moderate primary rough and greens that run to 12 on the Stimpmeter. Accuracy isn’t such a factor here.
Players have to be really wayward to find the cactus that fringes the fairways but it could be game over if they are that far off course. In 2021, Brooks Koepka returned some solid all-round stats and was ranked second in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green.
Someone with form and a strong all-round game at the moment is Hideki Matsuyama and we keep coming back to the Japanese star. It has been five years since his last win here but he knows what it takes in this tournament and has enjoyed a resurgence since that Masters victory last April.
Matsuyama for the win is the main tip with three added top 10 betting picks which should all offer challenges to the leaderboard. So these are the final predictions, at recommended odds, for this Phoenix Open 2022 preview:
- Hideki Matsuyama to win @ +1600 (16/1) with Bovada, BetOnline or EveryGame.
- Top 10 Finish Betting Picks (all odds are with BetOnline – Bovada and EveryGame will publish odds shortly): Matsuyama (+200), Sam Burns (+325), Webb Simpson (+375) and Seamus Power (+425).
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.