Baltimore at Miami Dolphins Preview, Picks, Betting Predictions: Take Ravens On Spread

Tua TagovailoaWeek 10 of the NFL season is upon us and to kick things off, we have the AFC North-leading Baltimore Ravens traveling to Florida to take on the struggling Miami Dolphins in this Veteran’s Day edition of Thursday Night Football today (8:20 PM ET).

Read on for this Ravens vs Dolphins predictions article with full preview and culminating with our betting picks on the game.

Don’t Sleep on the Ravens

Now that we are entering into week 10, it means the NFL season is firmly into its second half and it’s always fun to look back at preseason predictions compared to reality. Well so far, this year’s standings are pretty on par to where preseason predictions landed with the Green Bay Packers, Los Angeles Rams, and Baltimore Ravens all sitting pretty. But the thing with the Ravens is, when this prediction first came out, it was before Baltimore was struck with not one, not two, but five injuries all within the span of just under three weeks. Two of those injuries came within minutes of each other. It certainly had a lot of people, this writer included, re-evaluating the Ravens’ expectations going into the 2021-22 season.

For starters, Baltimore was heading into the year with all three of their preseason depth chart running backs, J.K. Dobbins, Gus Edwards, and Justice Hill, injured and set to miss varying amounts of time. It was a crushing blow that saw the Ravens’ chances take a hit. So what did Baltimore do? They went out and signed three veteran journeymen, Latavius Murray, Devonta Freeman, and most notably, Le’Veon Bell. Had this been five, even three years ago, that trio of backs may have been considered the greatest in NFL history. But now, they were just three guys waiting for another shot.

While none of the three are exactly lighting the world on fire, they are doing enough behind the Ravens’ leading rusher, Lamar Jackson, who has surged to an MVP start yet again. Really, at the end of the day, it doesn’t matter who the backs are, this team will only go as far as Jackson can take them. That has been shown in the last few years during the playoffs as the Ravens have fallen short due to uneven performances by their star QB. Jackson is out to prove that this year will be different and so far, at least in the regular season, he is doing just that. Always seen as a run first, pass second kind of guy, Jackson is utilizing his passing game more efficiently than in past years. His 13 TD to 7 INT ratio may not wow anybody but he’s already passed for 2,209 yards in eight games (the Ravens had theirs by already). That’s already more passing yards than he had all of last season and just 1,000 yards under his career high of 3,127 from 2019. He i’s averaging 351.1 yards per game this season so at that rate, he’ll shatter his career best mark and do so by week 13.

It shows Jackson’s growth as a player that even with him knowing he is the best rusher the Ravens currently have, that he acknowledges he needs to use his arm as well. Right now, he is doing both as Jackson leads the Ravens in rushing, averaging 6.2 yards per carry, but is also on pace for some massive passing numbers. This is the player the Ravens have always hoped Jackson could develop into.

So, while things may have started murky in B’More, the Ravens have shown why despite the adversity, they are still a team to beat in the AFC. Should the playoffs begin today, the Ravens, at 6-2, would have the conference’s second-best seed. They are only one game behind the Tennessee Titans for that top mark. Don’t sleep on the Ravens when it comes to getting that top seed and first round bye, especially with how they are playing now on offense. According to NFL team stats, the Ravens rank second in the NFL in total offense, averaging over 427 yards per game. For once, it is that unit that is carrying the otherwise staunch defense, which this year is in the middle of the NFL pack.

The Other Guys

The Dolphins are riding high, kind of. I mean on the one hand, they are coming off a win, their first since their week one victory against the New England Patriots. On the other hand, the win came against the Houston Texans, only one of two teams (the other being the Detroit Lions), who have a worse record than the Dolphins this year. But hey, a win’s a win, right?

Back to our preseason expectations for a minute, the Dolphins, unlike the Ravens, have underperformed. Miami was figured to finish somewhere in the middle of the pack as their roster, for its flaws, does possess some talented players. Namely Jaylen Waddle, the rookie wide receiver out of Alabama. United with his former QB Tua Tagovailoa, expectations were high for the Crimson Tide duo. Waddle has put up good numbers, both with and without Tagovailoa, who has missed several games due to injury. On the season. Waddle is the sixth most targeted wide receiver in the NFL as he has 78 targets. Of those 78, he has reeled in 56 for 496, which is a very good catch-to-drop rate. But Waddle is yet to have his first 100-yard game, coming closest last week when he caught eight passes for 83 yards.

As for his QB, Tagovailoa’s NFL career has not really gone as planned. He struggled as a starter in his rookie year and now he has been plagued by injuries causing him to miss just under half of the Dolphins’ season. In the games where Tagovailoa has played this year, however, he has looked better than his 2020 campaign. In just five games, he has already almost topped his yards total from last year, which he garnered over 10 games. Same goes for the rest of his stats as Tagovailoa is on pace to set new career marks in just about every offensive category. If he stays healthy, and right now, that’s a big if.

Going into today’s Thursday night game, Tagovailoa is questionable, likely a game time decision on whether or not he’ll play. If he can’t go, Jacoby Brissett will once again step in as a starter. It will be Brissett’s sixth outing in a year that has been a mixed bag. His most recent game came against the Texans, where you could argue the Dolphins won in spite of his performance, which saw Brissett throw two interceptions and just one touchdown.

At the end of the day though, it doesn’t really make a difference who is under center for the Dolphins. The Ravens are going to be a tough match up and that is reflected in the following predictions and picks for this betting preview.

Our Preview’s Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins Predictions & Betting Picks Conclusion

The Ravens opened up to one of this week’s biggest spreads, -7.5pts @ 110 with BetOnline. Given the ways the Dolphins have lost this year, it’s a fair one. Take Baltimore and the points and look for the over on 46.5 total points @ best odds of -107, also with BetOnline.