Orlando City are one of the early pacesetters in the new MLS season and, after six games, Oscar Pareja’s team are unbeaten. Three wins and three draws leave the Lions in second place but they have a game in hand over Eastern Conference leaders New England Revolution and Orlando will go top if they win that match.
On Saturday, Pareja’s men face a trip to a New York Red Bulls side (Kick-Off: 1pm ET) who have opened the new campaign in a more subdued fashion. With two wins and four defeats, the Red Bulls currently find themselves in tenth place and they will be anxious to start putting together some more consistent results.
NYRB vs OCSC Sportsbooks’ Betting Odds
Based on league standings alone, the moneyline market may look a little surprising. Red Bulls are clear favorites at around +125 while Orlando are the outside bet at +195 for the win. Completing the result bet is the draw which is currently listed at a general +240.
Gerhard Struber’s side may have the home advantage but they don’t possess the form with just six points from those opening six matches. The encouraging stat in terms of Saturday’s game shows that Red Bulls have won both of their home matches by two goals to nil – against Toronto and Chicago – and their only defeats have come on the road.
Unbeaten records are unlikely to last across the season and, while home court advantage can be a factor, there has to be some value in backing a positive result for Orlando City. Before this preview commits to any betting predictions, we’ll take our regular look at the players who are most likely to influence the outcome and some of those prop bets.
Portuguese international and former Manchester United winger Nani is Orlando City’s leading scorer with three goals in five matches to date. Because of that impressive record, he has shortened in the first goalscorer market and is as low as +550 in places.
As productive as Nani has been at the start of this campaign, he is not a main striker and that figure is a little short for comfort. At the same odds of +550 to open the scoring is Red Bulls’ Fabio Netto. A Brazilian striker on loan from Oeste, Fabio has failed to score in his opening six games and, once again, that +550 figure isn’t tempting us.
So where is the value in the first goal scorer prop? Red Bulls’ 18-year-old midfielder Caden Clark might offer the answer. The youngster could be a hot property in the future having scored three times in six games this season and he is at far more reasonable odds of +800 for the first goal.
Other props show Both Teams to Score at an industry best of -136. Considering the goal stats from the opening round of matches that could be too short. You can vote No on BTTS to get odds of around +100 but we feel there will be more goals in this game.
With that in mind, we’ll be considering backing Over 3.5 combined goals which is listed for this match at +220. Compared to the Both Teams to Score prices, that figure is a generous one and, if we drop just one place and back Over 2.5 goals, the odds plummet to -110.
All that’s left is our regular suggestions for Correct Score betting and our feeling is that Saturday’s game could provide an entertaining draw. A 2-2 final outcome may be the way to go for a small wager and this is available at best odds of +1300. Alternatively, a 2-1 win for the Red Bulls is quoted at +800 in most places while the same outcome in favor of Orlando City is further back at a best of +1000.
Our Preview’s RBNY vs OCSC Predictions & Picks Verdict
The fact that the sportsbooks have made New York Red Bulls the clear favorites means that there could be value in the moneyline bet for anything other than a home win. It might, therefore, be a day to consider a double chance bet where there are odds of -169 for either the draw or the away win to drop in.
We’ve hinted at a draw throughout this RBNY vs OCSC preview and we’ll back up that suggestion with our first confirmed pick. The Red Bulls may have won both of their home games by identical 2-0 scorelines but they have not been convincing throughout those opening matches.
If the match goes according to the form book, Orlando City should come away with at least a point. There is some threat in the New York camp, however, so we’ll back Caden Clark to continue his scoring form with a goal in 90 minutes.
Finally, as we’ve backed an entertaining encounter we’ll take the +220 on offer for Over 3.5 goals. The trends suggest it could be a low-scorer but trends are there to be broken and +220 is a comparatively generous price in the total goals market. So these are the betting predictions we suggest:
- The draw @ best odds of +247 with BetOnline.
- Caden Clark to score at any time @ +280 with Bovada. It is +275 with Intertops.
- Over 3.5 goals @ +225 with Bovada. Next best is +220 with Intertops.
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.