New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution Preview, Predictions, Picks: Bet on Lack of Firepower

Gustavo BouNew York Red Bulls welcome the New England Revolution to Red Bull Arena on Saturday (6pm ET), where they will be looking to atone for their recent defeat. Can the hosts get the job done in this MLS game? Or will the visitors make it two wins from two and cause an upset? This NYRB vs Revs preview, with its betting predictions and picks, aims to find out.

After taking several steps in the right direction during their four-game unbeaten run, three of which they won, the New York Red Bulls ran into a roadblock last time out. Despite playing on home soil, they were no match for table toppers Philadelphia Union, who won by two goals to nil. Saturday’s hosts must now build momentum again, though doing so against an in-form New England Revolution side will be anything but simple.

For the visitors, it was an enjoyable game last time out. Bruce Arena’s men got the better of the Red Bulls’ city rivals, beating New York City FC by three goals to nil. Sure, they played at home, and performing similarly on the road will be much tougher, though such a promising victory will have undoubtedly left the Revs feeling strong. That said, they will have to improve significantly on their most recent travelling effort, which was a 4-0 defeat in Montreal.

RBNY home form lacking

The Red Bulls find themselves in an excellent position, though that’s not down to their home form. On the road, they’ve been as good as any team in the east, but at home, things have gone rather poorly for the men in red. At Red Bull Arena, Gerhard Struber’s men have won just four games, which means in terms of wins, they’re the joint worst home team in the division. Only one team has accumulated fewer home points than the Red Bulls too.

So, why the reason for this disappointing home record? Well, in recent times, they’ve stumbled at home due to a lack of forward productivity, or rather a lack of inconsistency in that department. Yes, they notched three on their way to beating Inter Miami recently, but they failed to score against Philly last time out, while they have now scored more than once in just one of their last four at Red Bull Arena. They have failed to score in three of their last six at home. Their average of 1.23 xG for during that time doesn’t exactly scream goals either.

NE Revs: Do visitors lack offensive strength?

Early in the campaign, the Revs struggled to adapt to life on the road, winning not one of their first five traveling games. They also come here having delivered a weak display in Montreal recently. However, before that defeat in Canada, they’d started to develop something of a thick skin away from the comforts of their Massachusetts home. They tied in Toronto, came out on top in Orlando and fought hard for a point in Columbus, where they did a particularly good job defensively, keeping a clean sheet.

If there’s one worry, it’s that the visitors don’t have enough offensive strength. They have scored five in their last four away games, but they have failed to score in two of those four and haven’t exactly produced xG numbers that point towards a team that has a menacing forward line-up. With Gustavo Bou and Carles Gil, arguably the Revs most dangerous players failing to fire on a regular basis of late, it is not overly easy to see where the goals are going to come from.

Revs on top in this matchup

In recent times, the Revs have dominated this matchup. Yes, they lost when the pair met earlier in the campaign, failing by a goal to nil in front of a home crowd. That was however their first defeat in four against the Red Bulls, winning each of the previous three. When they last visited this venue, the New England Revolution won by three goals to two. Interestingly, Saturday’s visitors have scored three goals in three of the last four renewals of this fixture.

NYRB vs Revs: Lack of goals?

In recent years, this fixture has produced plenty of goals, with three of the last four renewals all containing four or more. However, when the pair met earlier in the season, just one goal was scored, while plenty about the recent efforts of both points towards a lack of goals at Red Bull Arena on Saturday. At the very least, there is reason to believe that there’s more chance of a low-scoring game unfolding than the early betting lines from the United States’ sports gambling websites suggest.

Let’s start with the hosts, who have floundered offensively on an all too often basis of late. After all, they have scored in just three of their last six at home. Defensively, despite keeping no clean sheets during that time, they have conceded more than once in just two out of six, including in one of their last four. They have also produced little in terms of expected goals at home of late, and have conceded little, which further fuels the goal-shortage fire.

The visitors’ lack of attacking power on the road also helps. As touched on in this preview above, despite a few games where they somewhat fortunately notched multiple goals, their underlying attacking numbers are poor. They’ve produced xG figures of 1.1, 1.0, 1,2 and 0.2 in their last four road games, so don’t be surprised if they fail to make an impact against a Red Bulls team that can keep things relatively tight, despite their own offensive worries.

So the verdict of our RBNY vs Revs predictions is this one betting picks suggestion:

  • Go under 2.5 goals @ best odds of +110 with Bovada.