New England Revolution vs D.C. United Preview, Betting Picks, Predictions, Tips: Bet On Few Opportunities

Wayne RooneySides looking to improve their Eastern Conference position clash on Saturday (7.30pm ET),  as the New England Revolution entertain D.C. United at Gillette Stadium. Can the hosts register back-to-back wins for the first time this season? Read this MLS game preview and Revs vs DCU predictions with betting picks to find out.

For quite some time, the Revs have had very little to shout about, especially since they’ve underperformed hugely compared to last season, when they ran away with the Eastern Conference. The men from Gillette Stadium have at least steadied themselves in recent weeks, drawing with both the Columbus Crew and Toronto FC, before recording a resounding victory over Orlando City last time out, scoring three and conceding zero in the process. The Revs have now kept a rather impressive three clean sheets on the bounce. Perhaps they’re finally moving towards occupying a position inside the all-important top seven.

For the visitors, the reality remains bleak. They arrive here as the lowest ranked team in the east, sitting on 22 points, which right now leaves them eight points below the seventh and final playoff spot. While not ridiculous, that gap is verging on being extremely hard to bridge. In terms of recent form, it doesn’t look good for the men in black. A brief respite earned by beating Orlando a few weeks ago has passed, and it was once again back to losing ways last time out. The visitors have now failed to win six of their last seven MLS games, losing four of those half dozen.

Revs ready to rumble at home

There are a handful of venues that are currently very difficult to visit in Major League Soccer, and Gillette Stadium is one of them, that’s for sure. Prolific home winners they may not be, but man, do Saturday’s hosts know how to dig in and avoid defeat.

Bruce Arena’s 2021 table toppers have either won or tied each of their last eight home fixtures. Sure, they’ve kept only two clean sheets during that time, so they’re not exactly infallible, but they’ve not conceded more than twice in those eight games, conceding more than once in just two out of eight. That record cannot be matched by many, so fearful is what those heading to Massachusetts arena should be.

D.C. disastrous on the road

On the flipside, DCU are certainly not difficult to beat on their travels. In fact, they’ve lost with alarming regularity when playing on the road. Why have they lost so often? Partly because they’ve conceded so many, allowing their opponents to score 27 times in 10 matches, though perhaps the biggest contributor to what is ultimately a very weak away record is a lack of goals scored.

With just ten in ten, the side now managed by former player Wayne Rooney are one of the least prolific in terms of away goals scored in the Eastern Conference. Only two teams have scored fewer goals on the road. They’re also the second worst side in terms of traveling xG for. D.C. United’s board will surely be hoping that with Manchester United’s all-time record goalscorer at the helm, a surge in attacking productivity occurs.

First win for a long time

When the pair met in the reverse fixture, back in late April, D.C. United came out on top, winning by three goals to two, though D.C. victories in this fixture are few and far between. That was Saturday’s visitors’ first win against the Revs since 2018. Prior to that win, they’ve lost six straight against NE Revs, so recent history is very much on the side of the hosts, who have only ever lost once against D.C. at home, winning five of their last six. What is perhaps most interesting is the fact that lots of goals have been scored between the pair in recent times, with four of the last five meetings producing at least five goals.

NERevs vs DCU: Where’s the bet?

Though they have struggled to win regularly at home, this must go down as a huge opportunity for the New England Revolution to put a very valuable three points on the board. However, their inability to finish teams off and come out on top is worrying, especially with their most prolific player (Gustavo Bou) on the sidelines. The Argentine has now missed three games and is not expected to return. Combine this with the fact that the Revs also lost Adam Buksa to Ligue 1 club Lens, and it’s not overly difficult to see why they’ve not been blowing teams away at home.

Despite the fact that this fixture has produced goals in the past, the best option here, in terms of value, may just be ‘Under 2.5 Goals’. Without Buksa and Bou, The Revs have struggled to be at their brilliant best offensively, even at home, where they failed to score last time out. They’ve now scored six goals in their last five at Gillette Stadium. Hardly show stopping stuff.

Combine this with the fact that the visitors have scored in none, yes none, or their last three away games, scoring in only one of their last five and a low-scoring game starts to look a little more likely than the early odds suggest. After all, we are talking about the second worst home team in terms of xG for, as well as the second worst away team in terms of xG for, so do not be surprised if this is a game of few scoring opportunities, regardless of what this fixtures’ recent history points towards.

So for our betting predictions and picks, this preview has just the one tip against the stateside sports betting sites and offshore bookmakers:

  • Go under 2.5 goals @ best odds of +130 with Bovada.