New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union MLS Match Preview, Predictions, Betting Picks: Go Under

Bou: Revs vs Philly PredictionsNew England Revolution go in search of a third successive victory on Monday evening, as they host Philadelphia Union at Gillette Stadium in the MLS (7.30pm ET). Will the hosts continue their upwards trajectory, or will it be the visitors who continue to move forward?

Read our New England vs Philadelphia predictions, in-depth game preview and picks to find out.

Revs back on the up

At the start of the month, it looked as though Bruce Arena’s men were on something of a downward spiral, but after losing to conference leaders Toronto at this venue, a change of scenery sparked a return to form. First off, The Revs went away to New York City and returned with all three points, while they emerged victorious from an exciting game last time out, beating Montreal by three goals to two. Those two wins will have given Monday’s hosts a timely confidence boost, which is exactly what the doctor ordered ahead of a game against a strong Philadelphia side.

Philly ready to pounce

Philadelphia were unable to take all three points last time out, in fact, they needed a late equalizer to avoid slipping up away against lowly DC United. However, The Union remain in good form, as they’ve lost none of their last three, two of which they won. Furthermore, six wins from their last nine has propelled Jim Curtin’s men to second in the Eastern Conference. As things stand, they’re just three points off leaders Toronto.

Home soil not providing solace

New England come into this game in good shape after two travelling wins, but their recent exploits at home are slightly worrying. The hosts have won just once at home since the regular season resumed in August. That is one win from seven matches. They’ve only lost two of the other six, neither of which were heavy defeats, which doesn’t exactly point towards them being weak, but a lack of wins is still a problem.

The main problem for The Revs has been a lack of goals. Just four goals in seven home matches since the resumption of the campaign isn’t good enough. Disappointingly, Arena’s men have failed to find the net in five of those seven.

Visitors off color away from home

Fortunately, for New England, Philadelphia haven’t been great away from home of late, or least they haven’t been getting ideal results, as no wins in three suggests. That said, they have lost just one of their last five matchups on the road and that was against the conference leaders. If we exclude their 1-0 defeat away at Toronto, which is anything but an easy place to go, then Philly are unbeaten in four on the road, two of which they’ve kept a clean sheet in.

Recent meetings

This won’t be the first time that the pair have faced off since the global pandemic put a stop to soccer. It won’t be the second, nor will it be the third. That’s right, this will be the fourth renewal of this fixture in less than three months. Back in July, Philly won by a goal to nil at the MLS Is Back Tournament. In August, the pair drew 0-0 at this venue, while last month, Philadelphia won by two goals to one at Talen Energy Stadium.

From a New England point of view, clear-cut chances have generally been hard to come by in this fixture, as just one goal in three games suggests. A rather measly average, at least by MLS standards, of 1.06 ‘expected goals for’ per 90 minutes against Philly doesn’t make for positive reading. It has been a similar story for Philly, who’ve produced more than 1.0 ‘expected goals for’ in just one of the three previous meetings. Such numbers go some way to explaining the general lack of goals in this fixture.

Revs vs Philly predictions & picks verdict: Go under for profit

The current odds of +115 on ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ with the foremost stateside oddsmakers are too good to miss. Neither New England, who are still without the services of two reasonably important attacking players in Carles Gil and Cristian Penilla, nor The Union have thrived from an attacking standpoint in recent renewals of this fixture, while there has been a general lack of goals at this venue of late. Revs’ Gustavo Bou is quite short in the bookies’ odds to score the first goal but less than three goals have been scored in six of The Revs’ last seven matches at Gillette Stadium. So that makes the one betting pick for the conclusion of this MLS game’s NE Revolution vs Philadelphia Union predictions and preview look like this: