Golf is just starting to prepare for its Christmas break and that will mean some mixed quality fields over the next few weeks. From Thursday, the PGA Tour takes in the RSM Classic 2022 which has been on the circuit since 2010.
After coasting to victory at the Houston Open on Sunday. Tony Finau is looking for back-to-back wins. He is the highest ranked golfer on show across the four days, but there are plenty of challenges from the field of players.
The Sea Island Golf Club on Georgia’s Saint Simons Island is the destination, so let’s see what the American friendly sportsbooks and betting sites make of it with our RSM Classic predictions and betting picks as part of this golf tournament preview.
Tony Finau’s ranking would have been enough to see him claim the favorite’s berth, but his margin of victory on Sunday just seals the deal. He claimed the Houston Open by four clear shots and never looked in danger on the final day. Finau’s power hitting may not be so highly rewarded this week, but he was on fire with his putting and that will obviously be a factor. He leads the field at best industry odds of 10/1 and nobody else comes close.
He has also gone back-to-back this year. Back in July, Tony took out the 3M Open and the Rocket Mortgage Classic in consecutive weeks. It all adds up to three wins in his last seven starts and the favorite makes a compelling case.
The chasing pack, according to the bookies’ odds, are led this week by Brian Harman and Seamus Power with both men on offer at odds of 25/1. That represents a significant gap behind the favorite Tony Finau, but both men should have some confidence as they step up to the first tee. Ireland’s Power won the Bermuda Championship at the end of October and he followed that with third place in Mexico the very next week. He also finished in a tie for fourth at the RSM Classic last year. Harman returns following a solo second in Mexico and he has good local knowledge of these courses.
Further back, Tom Hoge, Taylor Montgomery and Jason Day can all be claimed at 28/1 in places. Hoge is another player to have tied for fourth here last year while Day is just showing some glimpses of the form that made him a major champion.
Other names to consider from within this section include Keith Mitchell, Denny McCarthy and Joel Dahmen, who are all available at 35/1. Dahmen has two top ten finishes in this event while Mitchell is a Saint Simons Island resident who has two top 15s in his last three visits.
Matthew NeSmith and Patrick Rodgers tee off the outsider list at 45/1 while Webb Simpson, Justin Rose and Sahith Theegala are further back at 50/1. Simpson was a runner-up at the RSM Classic in 2019 while Rodgers also has a second place to his name, after losing out in a playoff to Charles Howell III a year earlier.
Also at 50/1 are two former champions of this event. Mackenzie Hughes won in 2016 and he finished in a solo second to Talor Gooch last year. Kevin Kisner, winner in 2015, also has a second-place finish after losing the playoff to Robert Streb in 2020.
Moving through the outsiders, Harris English and JJ Spaun are at 66/1, Trey Mullinax at 90/1, and Sepp Straka at 100/1, while Cameron Champ, Danny Willett and Justin Lower are all quoted at 125/1.
Our Preview’s RSM Classic Course & Betting Trends with Predictions & Picks
The RSM Classic works a little differently to most tournaments as it is played over two courses. Both form part of the Sea Island Golf Club, so we have the Plantation Course and the Seaside Course in play.
Golfers will alternate between the two locations and each of them provides different challenges. The Plantation Course is a par 72 at around 7,160 yards while the Seaside Course is a shorter par 70 at a fraction over 7,000 yards.
In 12 previous editions of the tournament, there has been one multiple winner and just one champion from outside of the USA. Robert Streb claimed his second RSM Classic title in 2020 while Canada’s Mackenzie Hughes lifted the trophy in 2016.
With two different courses in play, the winner often boasts a good set of all-round stats. The Seaside Course, which will host the final two rounds, is ranked as one of the easiest par 70s on the circuit and scoring is generally low. Plantation can be more susceptible to the wind and the average scores go up in accordance with breezy conditions.
It could all come down to accuracy and a battle with the putter on greens that should reach around 12 on the Stimpmeter.
Tony Finau makes a compelling case and he is in the form of his life. His power off the tee will not be such an advantage so maybe it is a day to look elsewhere. Another man in top form is Seamus Power and, in a mixed field, he should be targeting the top of the leaderboard. He is nicely rested and, with a solid set of all-round stats, Power is our man to deliver this week.
So these are our RSM Classic betting predictions and picks for this golf preview:
- Seamus Power to win at best odds of +2500 (25/1) with Bovada or BetOnline. Power is +2200 (22/1) with EveryGame.
- Top 10 Finish Predictions (all odds from BetOnline, who are longest odds about these tips): Seamus Power (+300), Kevin Kisner (+600), Webb Simpson (+475) and Mackenzie Hughes (+475).
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.