After last year’s postponement, the 43rd edition of the Ryder Cup gets underway this Friday. Twenty four of the world’s finest golfers will battle it out for the trophy with Team USA looking to avenge a heavy defeat in Paris three years ago.
The United States are the big favorites with all the top offshore bookies but Europe will be confident of upsetting the odds and to extend its recent dominance of this event. Will that happen? Read on for our 2021 Ryder Cup predictions and preview with betting picks at the end.
Ryder Cup Outright Winner Odds
Team USA have been the clear favorites to win the Ryder Cup for some time – even before the squads were finalized. Going into Friday’s first tee time, Captain Steve Stricker’s men can be found at a general -185.
Victory for Team Europe is on offer at best industry odds of +250 (5/2) while there is a third option for a tie at 14 points apiece. Defending champions Europe would retain the trophy under these circumstances and the tie is available at a top price of +1200.
The first point to consider is the venue: The US have a home advantage with the competition being hosted by the Whistling Straits Course in Haven, Wisconsin. The venue has previously welcomed three US PGA Championships – in 2004, 2010 and 2015 so it will be familiar to the majority of players in the field.
Interestingly, all three of those PGA titles ended up with winners from outside of the US – Vijay Singh, Martin Kaymer and Jason Day. Home court advantage may still prove useful but the United States are favorites simply because they have the strongest team.
Eight of the world’s top ten ranked golfers are American and all eight are in the US Ryder Cup roster for 2021. It’s going to be tough for Europe to step up but it wouldn’t be the first time that they’ve come through as underdogs to take the trophy.
Ryder Cup Prop Bets
Team golf offers scope for prop bets that we wouldn’t see in regular tournament play and a competition of this magnitude means that there are some busy markets. Correct Score betting is one of the more popular picks and a narrow, 15-13 win in favor of the US carries the shortest price here at +900. Anyone looking to back Europe to win by the same score can claim a top price of +1400.
One market that particularly interests us is that of Top Points Scorer. You can find combined odds but there are props for each team and, for the United States, the favorite is Justin Thomas at +600. JT has a good record in the tournament but Jordan Spieth, at +750, is the man who catches our attention.
Spieth heads the Power Rankings this week and, as a player in solid form, he is expected to be busy across all three days. He was also runner up when the PGA Championship was last held at Whistling Straits in 2015. That’s a promising record and +750 represents a generous figure in our opinion.
Europe’s top points scorer betting shows Jon Rahm as the favorite at +350 while Tommy Fleetwood could be a popular selection at +750.
Our Betting Preview’s Ryder Cup Predictions & Picks Verdict
Europe’s skipper Padraig Harrington has gone for experience with his Captain’s Picks. He has followed the pattern set by his predecessor Thomas Bjorn in 2018 with Sergio Garcia and Ian Poulter squeezing in. Is this a wise move or are the veterans past their best?
Along with the third pick – Shane Lowry – the non-qualifiers have shown glimpses of their best form while lacking the consistency that would have got them into the roster on merit.
I suspect that their inclusion also underlines a lack of depth in European golf right now and that offers a clue to the destination of the trophy. Back in 2018, young players such as Matt Wallace and Eddie Pepperell had won tournaments in Europe and were unlucky to miss out in Paris. Both of those players have been disappointing this year and no-one was really ‘hammering at the door’ in terms of selection.
Much is said about the European ‘team ethic’ and that sense of unity has helped them get over the line in the past. In 2021, there is some quality in the European field but there is a huge gulf in class between the two rosters.
Europe will rely heavily on Jon Rahm who is the world number one while Harrington will hope that Rory McIlroy, Paul Casey and Viktor Hovland can be at their best and recreate the kind of success that they have enjoyed on the PGA Tour.
We suspect that it may be a forlorn hope. Team unity is important but the greater quality in the US side, coupled with the familiar conditions will see the Ryder Cup go to the favorites.
The United States to win the Ryder Cup is the main pick while, for the reasons stated above, we’ll add Jordan Spieth as top American points scorer to the betslip.
So these are the betting predictions and picks against the sportsbooks for this Ryder Cup preview:
- United States to win the 2021 Ryder Cup at -185 with Bovada. It is -189 with Intertops and -195 with BetOnline.
- Jordan Spieth to be the ‘top American points scorer’ at +750 with Intertops. He is +650 with Bovada and BetOnline.
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.