Super Bowl LVIII Predictions, Betting Picks, Full Preview: San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Last updated February 11th, 2024

Patrick MahomesThe time has finally arrived for the biggest sporting event of the year. Annually, the NFL’s Super Bowl LVIII, which has become as more about culture (and this year, pop culture) as it is about football, draws in millions of fans and generates millions of dollars in revenue for the host city, the host network, the snack food industry and certainly the bar/restaurant industry.

People will watch for all kinds of reasons: the game (also being aired on Nickelodeon in a broadcast especially made for kids), the commercials, the halftime show, the football pools, the prop bets. No matter the reason people choose to tune in, one thing is for certain. All eyes will be on Las Vegas and Super Bowl 58 where the San Francisco 49ers take on the Kansas City Chiefs in what will be a rematch four years in the making (6.45pm ET Sunday).

Read on for our full preview of this SB58 clash of the titans, with betting lines, predictions and picks. We’ll aim to take the top Super Bowl sportsbooks to the cleaners.

The Last Time We Met in Super Bowl LIV

The Chiefs and 49ers have played 15 games against each other, with a head-to-head as close as it can be, 8-7 in favor of the Chiefs. Their most recent meeting took place in October of the 2022 regular season, which was won handily by the visiting Chiefs, 44-23.

However, their most memorable meeting occurred two years prior at Super Bowl LIV. For the Chiefs, winning that Super Bowl was monumental as it started the run of a team that is sitting on the precipice of dynasty status (the team has appeared in four Super Bowls since 2019, winning two of them) pending what happens on Sunday.

It was the first Super Bowl for Patrick Mahomes, who is already a first ballot Hall of Famer despite being in the league for less than 10 years. It was also the first for legendary coach Andy Reid, whose resume also seemed on track for Canton but is now all but guaranteed. The Chiefs won the game 31-20, erasing a 10-point 3rd quarter deficit in the process.

Mr Not-So-Irrelevant vs Mr Very Relevant

In 2024, the Chiefs and Niners meet again. Kansas City, looking to cement its status as the NFL’s first dynasty since the New England Patriots’ run under Tom Brady, and the 49ers, looking to begin a dynasty of their own.

San Francisco felt cheated out of a Super Bowl appearance in 2023, and they may well have been. Injuries compounded their run through the NFC postseason, falling short in the championship game. But that roster returns healthy, hungry, and ready to fulfil their perceived destiny. Should the Niners win the 2024 trophy, they will be the first team to do so with the NFL’s last drafted player. Brock Purdy’s story will always come with the Mr. Irrelevant tag. It is an easy narrative and makes for a compelling story. I mean, by the numbers alone, Mahomes was the 10th overall pick in his draft, Purdy was the 262nd.

Purdy’s talent will always be viewed through the lens of his draft pick and it is clear he succeeded any expectations one may have had for the draft’s last pick. But if he was viewed outside of that number, he would still be seen as one of the top young quarterbacks in the league. Of course, the top is still Mahomes, until someone takes that mantle from him. Perhaps Super Bowl LVIII will be Purdy’s chance to do just that.

Both Purdy and Mahomes have been put in the position to succeed as their teams have been built around them. Both teams are well-coached, have exceptional skill players, and have solid defenses. Both teams have above-average special teams units and both have found success all season long. The Niners perhaps more than the Chiefs, who had an uncharacteristic stumble in the middle of the season whereas San Francisco looked like the NFC’s best throughout. But as the saying goes, it is not about how you start but how you finish. Through the playoffs, the Chiefs have looked every bit like a team prepared to repeat as Super Bowl champions.

The Taylor of it All

Whether people like it or not, one cannot talk about the 2024 Super Bowl without talking about Taylor Swift. I mean, someone could, but you would probably be the only one not to mention her name. Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s whirlwind romance has been the talk of the NFL world ever since Swift first attended a Chiefs game several months ago.

Now, the two are intrinsically linked with Swift even celebrating on the field with her boyfriend after the Chiefs won the AFC Championship. Swift’s involvement with Kelce has certainly been quite the narrative as it has brought pop culture into the Super Bowl in a way normally reserved for Super Bowl commercials. The question of whether she will make it from Tokyo to Las Vegas has been bandied about with even the Japanese Embassy getting involved.

Yes, Swift won’t be playing the games but that doesn’t mean you can’t make bets around her involvement in the game. Because, yes, there are indeed Taylor Swift prop bets with the bookies. While not based on Swift herself, the sportsbooks have a series of in-game props based around names of her songs.  You can hit a “Gold Rush” if the Niners score 40+ points or a “22” if there are 22+ points scored in any quarter by both teams. Should Kelce record 87+ receiving yards, that’s “Mine” and it’s “Karma” if Kelce has zero receptions in the midst of a Niners win.

While U.S. books aren’t offering those Swift specific props, sportsbooks in Canada and Europe have anything from ‘how often will the CBS broadcast mention Swift,’ to ‘will Swift be mentioned in the MVP’ and of course, a bet on if Kelce will propose to Swift following the big game.

Our Preview’s SB58 Predictions & Betting Picks Verdict

From Brock Purdy to George Kittle to Deebo Samuel to Christian McCaffery, the 49ers offensive weapons are absolutely juggernauts. Purdy doesn’t have to be great; he can just be good and the Niners can still win. If he’s great, it could be KCC that is in for a long night.

The Niners have gotten off to slow starts in their last few playoff games and while they were able to survive that against the Detroit Lions, it will be much harder against the Chiefs. Mahomes can score with the best of them and outscore anyone. His weapons aren’t slouches either. Kelce has been on a tear since the playoffs began and Mecole Hardman is always good for some big moments.

Both teams boast solid defenses but it’s the Super Bowl, and if Chiefs’ Super Bowls have shown anything, defense does not win championships. There may not be a proposal at the end of the day but look for Kelce to get a ring anyway.

  • Our pick is the Kansas City Chiefs on the moneyline @ best odds of +110 with Bovada or BetOnline sportsbooks. As for the score, we reckon 34-27 in what should be a classic game for the ages.