This week, we make the trip to Las Vegas for the Shriners Children’s Open 2021 which starts today so let’s see if we can keep the momentum of our good tipping form going.
Last week saw a thrilling climax to the Sanderson Farms Championship as our pick for the win claimed the trophy. Sam Burns looked too good to turn down at +1600 and he delivered an excellent profit in Jackson, Mississippi. Let’s hope we can do the same this week with our Shriners Open predictions and picks. Here goes with our full preview:
It’s tight at the top with most stateside online sportsbooks unable to separate two joint favorites. Brooks Koepka and Viktor Hovland lead the way with both men available at 18/1 in places. Last week, the favorites started at 14/1 so those odds look generous as we start the round-up.
Of the two, Koepka was a runner up in this tournament back in 2016 while Hovland has the better, all-round form. The Norwegian also ranks highly on Tour in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green which should be an important stat this week.
The chasers are led by three men who are all listed at best industry odds of 25/1. Abraham Ancer, Scottie Scheffler and last week’s champion Sam Burns can all be claimed at that figure. There will be interest in all three but Burns is the man in form coming into today’s first tee time.
Scheffler could also be one to watch but, in two previous appearances at the Shriners Children’s Open, he tied for 74th and missed the cut.
One name that certainly interests us is that of Webb Simpson who is our first former Shriners Champion. Simpson won this event back in 2013 when he eased out Jason Bohn and Ryo Ishikawa by a mighty six strokes. His aggregate of 260 remains a tournament record and, while all of this was a long time ago, Webb has been consistent ever since with a scoring average of 67.75.
Simpson is on offer at 25/1 while Kevin Na, Louis Oosthuizen, Hideki Matsuyama and Will Zalatoris are all slightly further back at 28/1. Na is a two-time winner of this event with victories in 2011 and 2019 so there is bound to be some interest there. With a tie for second in 2015, he’s the second highest earner in the Shriners, behind Patrick Cantlay who is absent this week.
Masters Champion Matsuyama has a strong record in this event while Zalatoris finished fifth on debut 12 months ago.
There are some strong contenders among the outsiders, led this week by Sungjae Im and Harris English at 33/1. Im is making his third appearance and has a solid opening record of a tie for 15th and a tie for 13th.
Moving through the list, Corey Conners is at 35/1, Patrick Reed at 40/1, Paul Casey at 40/1 and Matthew Wolff at 50/1. Casey has given us profits in the top 10 finish markets previously while Wolff was in contention for a single digit finish last week before fading on the final day. With Casey having endured a poor Ryder Cup, both men need to respond to recent disappointments but they should be considered for a top 10 result once again.
Other names to mention in this section include Adam Scott at 55/1, Charley Hoffman at 60/1, Marc Leishman at 66/1, Ryan Palmer at 100/1, Ryan Moore at 150/1 and Martin Laird at 150/1. Moore is another former winner of this event and his aggregate of 260 in 2012 ties with Webb Simpson as the tournament record.
As for Martin Laird, he is our defending champion and that 150/1 win price underlines the potential for value this week. Laird won in a three-way playoff against Matthew Wolff and Austin Cook 12 months ago.
Our Preview’s Shriners Open Course & Betting Trends with Picks & Predictions Verdict
1983 saw the first running of the event that was to become the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. The first edition of the Panasonic Las Vegas Pro Celebrity Classic was won by Fuzzy Zoeller and, following a number of name changes, Shriners Hospitals became involved in 2006.
The event is now played at TPC Summerlin which is a par 71 at a fairly regulation 7,255 yards. Low scoring has been a feature of this course and last year’s cut mark at seven under was a new record for the PGA Tour.
Short rough and favorable weather conditions help that scoring but there are challenges. Last year’s winner Martin Laird ranked highly in Par 5 scoring and Strokes Gained: Tee to Green which suggests that not all surfaces are going to be hit in regulation.
Both of our previous champions, Martin Laird and Kevin Na, were picking up the trophy for the second time but multiple winners are relatively rare. Jim Furyk with three victories is the only other golfer to have won on more than one occasion.
One man who could join that list is Webb Simpson who clearly likes it here: A previous win and a solid all-round record makes him our choice and he has the stats to convert once again at TPC Summerlin.
We were tempted by Scottie Scheffler but his record here is not so good so we’ll make Scottie one of our top 10 finish betting picks and look ahead to another productive four days on the PGA Tour. These are the predictions of this Shriners Open preview:
- Webb Simpson to win @ +2500 (25/1) with Bovada, Intertops or BetOnline.
- Top 10 Finish Picks: Simpson (+250 BetOnline, Intertops), Scottie Scheffler (+275 BetOnline), Paul Casey (+350 Intertops) and Matthew Wolff (+450 Intertops, BetOnline) for top 10 finishes.
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.