San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls Picks, Predictions, Betting Preview: Go Over 2.5 Goals

Jeremy EbobisseThe 2022 Major League Soccer campaign starts in California for the New York Red Bulls, who travel to Paypal Park to take on San Jose Earthquakes (6pm ET Saturday). Both teams will be looking for better this time around having failed to make any inroads last time around. Will they be evenly matched? Read on for our MLS game preview with betting predictions and concluding picks.

In the absence of on-field Major League Soccer action, the Earthquakes have been busy knitting deals together, bringing in the likes of Jan Gregus from Minnesota and Francisco Calvo from Chicago Fire. Both players bring plenty of MLS experience with them, but perhaps more notable is the signing of Jamiro Monteiro, who has arrived from Philadelphia.

Monteiro scored nine goals in three seasons with the Union, a total which is hardly eye-opening, though it’s more what he can do creatively that will have drawn San Jose’s attention. The Cape Verde international has 16 assists to his name in MLS, averaging 0.23 assists per 90 minutes.

There is one departure that leaves a hole that can’t really be filled, and that’s the gap left by the retirement of club and league legend Chris Wondolowski, who finishes as the MLS all-time top scorer with 171 goals to his name.

For the Red Bulls, there are a couple of acquisitions to get excited about. Lewis Morgan, who averaged 0.37 expected goals and assists in two seasons at DRV PNK Stadium, arrives from Inter Miami, while their marquee signing was Luquinhas, who joins the boys in red from Polish giants Legia Warszawa. The Brazilian arrives having seemingly underwhelmed in Eastern Europe, but we have seen such players hit the ground running in MLS before, so it will be interesting to see how the 25-year-old adapts.

Head-to-head record

In recent times, the Red Bulls have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five renewals. The San Jose Earthquakes have emerged victorious from just one of the last six meetings, though they have won two of their last three at home against NYRB.

When the pair last met, New York won four goals to one at their home of Red Bull Arena, while they were also victorious on their last trip to this venue, winning by three goals to one.

It’s not uncommon for goals to rain down on this fixture. Each of the last three renewals have produced four or more goals, while you’d have to go all the way back to 2010 in the records to see the last game between this pair that contained less than two goals. Both teams have scored in four of the last six renewals, as well as in seven of the last ten.

Where’s the bet?

In the early betting, San Jose come into this game as marginal favorites, priced at general odds of +155, while the visitors can be supported at a slightly larger price of +175. At those odds, a case could be made for both. The Earthquakes weren’t great at home last season, but they ended the year in decent enough form, losing just one of their last six at Paypal Park, though they have a poor recent record in this fixture. In truth, a bet on either team to come out on top of this opening fixture doesn’t really appeal.

If you are interested in playing this one, then ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ catches the eye at +105. Both the Quakes and the Red Bulls ended the previous campaign both scoring and conceding plenty, while the goals certainly haven’t stayed away from this fixture in recent years, with 15 goals hitting the net in the last three meetings between San Jose and the men in red.

Ebobisse to explode into life

Jeremy Ebobisse may have found the net just once after his mid-season switch from the Portland Timbers last season, but there was plenty to suggest that the 23-year-old can thrive. Since joining San Jose, the forward has produced an average of 0.39 expected goals per 90 minutes, which if replicated this time around should lead to a string of goals across a campaign that should be full of starts for the energetic front man. As a man who averages no fewer than 3.09 shots per 90 minutes, Ebobisse catches the eye as a goal getter here, and at odds of +290, it’s worth betting that his first goal of the season comes on opening night. So the predictions boil down to two betting picks for this MLS game preview:

  • Over 2.5 goals @ best odds of +105 with Bovada.
  • Jeremy Ebobisse to score at any time @ +290 with EveryGame.