Sporting Kansas City vs New England Revolution Picks, Predictions & Full MLS Betting Preview: More Bang for your Buksa

Adam BuksaSporting Kansas City and New England Revolution are both looking for an improved result after leaving the field disappointed last time when they collide at Children’s Mercy Park on Sunday (3pm ET; Live on TV: ABC, ESPN Deportes).

Can the hosts lift themselves off the bottom of the Western Conference? Or will the visitors pick up just their second away win of the campaign? This SKC vs Revs predictions and preview analysis aims to find out before we select our betting picks in the battle against those pesky sports betting sites for USA players.

It has been an awful campaign for Sporting Kansas City so far. Rather than challenging for a spot at the top end of the playoffs, as they often do, they have floundered. So much so that they come into this fixture as the bottom team in the Western Conference. It looked as though a corner was being turned a few weeks ago, when SKC went three games unbeaten in all competitions, two of which they won, but it was back to square one last time out, as they come up short at home to the Vancouver Whitecaps, losing by a goal to nil. Improvements are certainly needed.

Much of the same can be said for the Revs, who after dominating in the east last time around will have been looking to make further progress this season, but they too have struggled to get going since the start of the 2022 campaign. Bruce Arena’s men find themselves down in a rather lowly 11th position, and not only are they just five points from the foot of the Eastern Conference, they’re also five points off the top five, and two points shy of the all-important final play-off place. Their season is far from over, but unless the New England boys get it together, they could well be saying goodbye to post-season football before we even get there, which seemed unthinkable just a few months ago.

Battling at home

The hosts have been suffering this season, there can be no getting away from that fact, but any positives have come at home, where they have dug deep and picked up some pleasing results. In fact, despite their lowly position, the Kansas City squad of players have been somewhat tough to beat on their own patch. They’ve lost just two out of seven and are yet to lose by more than a single goal.

Peter Vermes’ men have also picked up some solid wins, beating both the Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake by a goal to nil, while they also held off both FC Dallas and the Columbus Crew. So this preview shouldn’t let their league position fool us into thinking that they are pushovers. Defensively, they have one of the best home records in the west, with only four teams having conceded fewer than the six goals that SKC have shipped in seven games at Children’s Mercy Park.

Results don’t tell the full story

If we take a quick glance at the Revolution’s results on the road this season, it would be easy to conclude that they have been poor. They have not really had luck on their side, and if we dig a little deeper, we can see that they’ve haven’t fared as badly as their bare form would suggest. For starters, in each of their last two away defeats, the visitors bettered their opponents in terms of expected goals, so they were probably unfortunate to go down by a goal on each occasion.

They have only been bettered in terms of xG on one occasion away from home this season, and that was in their first traveling game of the campaign. Since then, they have put together a reasonably respectable average xG difference of +0.16.

Revs on top

This fixture has very much belonged to the New England Revolution in recent years, with Sunday’s visitors winning four out of six renewals since 2016. During that time, SKC has picked up just a single win. When the teams last met, back in 2019, they played out a truly thrilling encounter, tying 4-4 at this venue.

Any neutrals tuning in for this fixture will surely be hoping for more of the same, and they may not be disappointed, as this is a game that generally throws up goals. Only one of the last six renewals has ended with less than three match goals, while four of those six have contained four or more goals. Since 2014, the pair have locked horns on 11 occasions, and in only two of those has one team failed to score. Good news for goal bettors?

Visitors good value

Neither side has covered themselves in glory this season, but if we compare SKC’s recent home efforts with New England’s recent away efforts, the away win starts to appeal at odds of +145.

Failing to score in two of their last five at home, Vermes’ men haven’t exactly hit their stride offensively, scoring an average of just 1.00 goal per game during that time. In contrast, New England have scored in 100% of their road games this season, notching an average of 2.00 goals per game in in their last five.

It’s little surprise that the visitors come out on top in terms of creativity, with the Revs posting an average of 1.4 xG in their last five on the road. SKC have mustered an average of just 1.00 xG in their last five at home. The extra offensive quality shown by Bruce Arena’s men can make all the difference here, and thus punters are advised to support an away win in the betting.

More bang for your Buksa

If you’re looking for something a little extra then why not take a chance on the Rev’s hitman Adam Buksa, who has been in fine form this season, so much so that the sportsbooks’ odds of +155 are eye-catching.

Now fresh from international duty, where he made a couple of substitute appearances for Poland, the man who has scored in each of his last seven for New England and who averages 3.87 shots per 90 minutes rates as an excellent anytime scorer bet.

So here are our two chosen betting picks to conclude this preview and SKC vs Revs MLS game predictions article:

  • New England Revolution to win @ best betting odds of +145 on the moneyline with Bovada or BetOnline.
  • Adam Buksa to score any time @ +155 with Bovada or EveryGame.