Women’s Championship Soccer Final: USWNT vs. Canada Predictions, Preview & Betting Picks

Tobin Heath: USA vs. Canada predictionsWith the main goal of qualification for the 2019 soccer World Cup now achieved, United States’ Women’s National Team will seek their eighth CONCACAF Women’s Championship with victory over Canada in the final in Frisco, Texas on Wednesday (8 PM ET, live on FS1 / UDN).

The United States have been the competition’s dominant force since its inception. They won the inaugural competition in Haiti in 1991 and have since triumphed on six further occasions. They have lifted the trophy on seven of the eight occasions they have entered.

Canada are the only other side to have triumphed in the tournament. They first did so in 1998, when the United States didn’t compete, and again in Mexico in 2010, defeating the host nation 1-0 in the final after Mexico had knocked out the US in the semi-finals.

These are clearly the top two teams in the CONCACAF region, and two teams who, having confirmed their qualification, should be capable of good runs at France 2019. The US are the World Cup holders and have reached at least the final four in each of their seven appearances in the competition, while Canada made it through to the quarter-finals on home soil in 2015. Both are ranked among the top five teams in the world by FIFA.

Yet while Canada are the closest in-region competition for the USWNT, the recent and historical record of meetings between the two teams shows a clear pattern of US supremacy. Not only does the historical record read 48 wins for the US to three for Canada, plus seven draws, but it is also necessary to go back to 2001 to find the last time Canada were victorious.

Team USA were 3-1 winners when the sides last met in November in the return leg of a two-match series that began with a 1-1 draw in Canada. Two of the last five meetings have ended in draws, but the US have otherwise been serial winners against their geographical neighbours. They have also won out on the three previous occasions they have met in the final of the CONCACAF Women’s Championship.

The manner in which Jill Ellis’ side have performed over the last 14-15 months gives little reason to believe that the US are unworthy of their status as odds-on favorites, with the USA betting sites, to emerge triumphant again on Wednesday. In that time, they have put together a 25-match unbeaten run, winning 22 of those matches and scoring 89 goals while conceding just 17.

They have not been challenged during the CONCACAF Women’s Championship to date. Group-stage thrashings of Mexico, Panama and Trinidad and Tobago were followed by a 6-0 crushing of Jamaica in their semi-final on Sunday. They were three up within 20 minutes, five up at the interval and then added another late on to wrap things up.

The potency of the US attack continues to impress, with Alex Morgan, who scored in both of the matches against Canada last year, Megan Rapinoe and Tobin Heath all in excellent form.

Ellis also seems to have found a better balance in midfield, although that hasn’t been seriously tested at this tournament. The defence has enjoyed a comfortable time of it.

There can be no doubt that they are formidable opponents, but Canada will nevertheless feel that they still have a chance of competing. After all, while the US have put together an impressive stretch without defeat, and have beaten top-eight teams in Germany, England, Japan and Brazil, their three draws came against the teams currently ranked fourth to sixth in the world: France, Australia and Canada themselves.

This is a good moment for women’s soccer in Canada. Their run to the last eight at the 2015 World Cup was sandwiched by consecutive bronze medals at the 2012 and 2016 Olympics. While long-serving head coach John Herdman moved over to the men’s national team at the turn of the year, Danish coach Kenneth Heiner-Moller has so far looked a solid replacement.

Canada haven’t made quite as comfortable progress through the competition as the US, but a 7-0 mauling of Panama in their semi-final geared them up nicely for the final. They have looked pretty good defensively, and have players such as Claire Sinclair, Nichelle Prince and Janine Beckie who are very much capable of causing damage in the final third.

Our Preview’s U.S. Women vs. Canada Picks & Betting Predictions Verdict

USWNT are the most likely winners, but Canada should be able to remain competitive enough to make them a solid bet on the spread. The bookies have not yet published odds on this game but, for our USWNT vs Canada betting prediction we would advise:

  • Bet on Canada +1.5 goals on the spread.