Valspar Championship 2022 Golf Odds Guide, Preview, Predictions and Betting Picks: DJ Looks Smart

Dustin JohnsonFollowing a thrilling few days at the Players Championship, there is a short trip across to Palm Harbor for the 2022 edition of the Valspar Championship. A strong field remains with several golfers hanging on to play both tournaments.

Sam Burns is the defending champion and he looks in good shape after holding the 36-hole lead on Friday. Last time out at TPC Sawgrass, Burns was one of our top ten picks and, while he didn’t convert, Dustin Johnson came through with a tie for ninth to provide a return. DJ is also in contention this week so let’s take a look at the full field as part of this preview before settling on Valspar betting predictions and picks.

It is tight at the top with Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa and Viktor Hovland all available at 11/1 with various USA betting outlets. Hovland’s tie for ninth on Monday was his fifth top ten finish in his last six starts and he remains the most consistent golfer right now. Morikawa, in contrast, missed the cut and his own form is patchy coming into the Valspar.

As for Justin Thomas, he proceeded quietly to a tie for 33rd and has three top ten finishes in this tournament. Hovland aside, form isn’t great for the favorites coming into Thursday’s first tee time.

Behind the top three, Dustin Johnson heads up the chasing pack at 14/1. Because he was some way back at the time, DJ’s course record-equaling 63 at TPC Sawgrass went under the radar. There are signs that he may be edging back to his best but he doesn’t have the greatest of records in this week’s tournament.

Next up is Xander Schauffele at 16/1, followed by Tyrrell Hatton, Sam Burns, Louis Oosthuizen and Shane Lowry who are all quoted at 18/1 in places. Burns is back to defend the title that he won by three strokes from Keegan Bradley 12 months ago.

Oosthuizen was a runner up to Paul Casey in 2019 and, while Hatton and Lowry haven’t produced notable returns in the Valspar Championship, form is good in both camps.

Speaking of Paul Casey, the two-time Valspar winner is sure to attract interest at his odds of 22/1. Champion in 2018 and 2019, Casey missed out on a three-peat last year but a solo third on Monday suggests he is primed for another strong showing this time.

Other names to mention from this middle group in the betting lines include Brooks Koepka at 22/1, Joaquin Niemann at 23/1, Abraham Ancer at 26/1 and Matt Fitzpatrick at 28/1. Of those names, Fitzpatrick and Ancer both have good records here. Mexico’s Ancer could certainly be one to watch with a scoring average of 68 and excellent accuracy stats around this Copperhead course.

In a strong outside bunch, one player to watch is Adam Hadwin. The Canadian was the champion here in 2017 and followed up with a tie for 12th in his 2018 defense. Hadwin is another player who tied for ninth at Sawgrass so the form and the course knowledge is there.

Hadwin can be claimed at odds of 50/1 for the outright win and he is one of a number of interesting players available at that figure. Others to watch out for in this section include Tommy Fleetwood at 38/1, Webb Simpson at 50/1, Gary Woodland at 55/1, Keegan Bradley at 55/1, Mackenzie Hughes at 65/1 and Branden Grace at 100/1.

It’s a field with some good depth but what will it take to get over the line?

Our Valspar Championship Preview’s Course & Betting Trends with Predictions & Picks

The Valspar Championship has been on the schedules since 2000 when it was initially run as the Tampa Bay Classic. There have been several changes of sponsor name since that point but the venue has been consistent since inception.

The Copperhead Course at the Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club in Palm Harbor Florida is the setting and many of this week’s field will be familiar with its challenges. It’s a par 71 but there is some good length at around 7,340 yards so there will be reward for the distance hitters in places.

As Sam Burns proved in 2021, the winner will need a solid game from tee to green. On his way to the title last year, Burns ranked highly in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and Proximity to the Hole. When he was wayward, Burns’ solid putting was there to compensate.

Three golfers have won the Valspar Championship on two occasions with Paul Casey being the most recent to complete the double in 2019. With a good record on this course and a third-place finish at the weekend, Casey is clearly one to watch again and this preview is including the English veteran as one of our top 10 finish picks.

As for the winner, it’s a tough one but Dustin Johnson’s late charge at the Players Championship suggests he is ready to lift a trophy once again. DJ has all the qualities to succeed if he can maintain that form and, along with these other top ten betting predictions, he can make it a profitable four days in Palm Harbor. So these are the selections against the bookies: