Valspar Championship 2024 Golf Odds, Betting Preview, Predictions: 20/1 Pick

Brian HarmanIt is tough for any tournament to follow an event as big as the Players Championship. The world’s best golfers were attracted to last week’s competition at Sawgrass and most are now taking a rest as part of their preparations for next month’s Masters. The Valspar Championship 2024 has the unenviable task of following and it is predictably a weakened field as we head into the last leg of the Florida Swing. It means value for those who can pick a winner, so let’s see who is in contention with this Valspar preview, predictions and its betting picks.

We got back to winning ways at the Players Championship. Scottie Scheffler was the clear favorite, but a win is a win, and his +750 (15/2) odds returned a good profit. Wyndham Clark at +500 (5/1) for a top 10 finish added to an excellent four days and USA Betting hopes you were on board.

Back to the Valspar Championship, and the favorite for the outright win this week is Xander Schauffele who is quoted at best industry odds of 8/1. Schauffele led for much of the final stages last week, before being caught by Scottie Scheffler at the death. He remains in good form but how will he respond after throwing away that lead?

Next at a top price of 12/1 is Sam Burns, who won back-to-back Valspar Championship titles in 2021 and 2022. Burns has the best record in this tournament out of those in this week’s field, having finished with a respectable solo sixth here last year.

Behind the leaders, the rest of the field is headed by Justin Thomas and Jordan Spieth who are both listed at best odds of 16/1. Spieth won this event back in 2015 and tied for third 12 months ago. Thomas has a low scoring average on this course and has a best finish of a tie for third in 2022. Brian Harman follows at 20/1 (was 22/1). He is another player in good touch, after his tie for second on Sunday. He has good stats but does not possess a good record in this tournament.

Next are Tony Finau and Sungjae Im at 25/1, followed by Cameron Young at 28/1. Finau is making his first visit to the Valspar Championship since 2018. He tied for fifth here the previous year and while he is known for his long hitting, there is much more to his game these days.

Other options for this section of the bookies’ betting odds include Min Woo Lee at 33/1 and Nick Taylor at 35/1. Lee is in good form this year, while Taylor was in contention at the Players until a last-round 76.

At the head of the underdog section, Eric Cole kicks things off at a best of 45/1. Cole has good, relevant stats, but he has only made one cut so far on the Florida Swing. Next we have a clutch of golfers at 50/1, with Adam Hadwin, Aaron Rai, Doug Ghim, Keith Mitchell and Keegan Bradley all available at that figure.

Hadwin was the Valspar Championship winner in 2017 while Bradley was a solo runner-up to Sam Burns three years ago. Ghim ranks joint first on Tour for par 5 scoring and that could be important over the four days.

The defending champion this week is Taylor Moore who edged out Adam Schenk by one shot 12 months ago. Moore is available at best odds of 70/1 for a successful defense while Schenk can also be found at that same 70/1 top price. Others to mention before we consider our verdict include Sepp Straka at 60/1, Maverick McNealy at 66/1, Lucas Glover at 70/1, Billy Horschel at 80/1, Akshay Bhatia at 80/1 and Ryan Fox at 100/1.

Our Preview’s 2024 Valspar Championship Golf Course & Betting Trends with Predictions & Picks Verdict

This tournament began life as the Tampa Bay Classic back in 2000. It has changed its name through various sponsorships and has been known as the Valspar Championship since 2014. The regular venue is the Copperhead Course at the Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club in Palm Harbor.

The course is a par 71 but there is some significant length at around 7,340 yards. Distance hitters should gain an advantage at the par 5s and there are four of them at this venue.

Most fairways are tree-lined, so accuracy is important, but the key stats in recent years involve Strokes Gained. When winning the tournament last year, Taylor Moore ranked highly for Strokes Gained: Approach, Strokes Gained: Tee to Green and also for Greens in Regulation.

Repeat winners of the event are common in recent editions. Sam Burns completed his second success in two years in 2022, just after Paul Casey had recorded two straight wins in 2018 and 2019.

Several players interest us this week and this preview is split between Justin Thomas, Tony Finau and Brian Harman. Thomas leads the Power Rankings going into Thursday and is tempting but he has let us down on several occasions recently.

Finau has a better all-round game these days while Harman has the best form after a solid display at the Players Championship. The concern for Harman backers is a poor record at the Valspar Championship but he is heading into his prime as a golfer and can go one better than his second place on Sunday. Brian Harman for the win is our main pick while we will leave Tony Finau among our regular top 10 finish tips. So these are the 2024 Valspar predictions and betting picks for this preview:

  • Brian Harman to win at best odds of +2000 (20/1) with BetOnline. He was 22/1, so there have already been some nibbles from value-seeking bettors.
  • Top 10 Finish Betting Picks (best odds in brackets): Brian Harman (+250 BetOnline & Bovada), Cameron Young (+300 BetOnline), Tony Finau (+275 BetOnline, Bovada) and Adam Hadwin (+450 BetOnline).