Western Conference rivals the 40-30 San Antonio Spurs host the 53-17 Golden State Warriors tonight (9:30 p.m. ET Monday on ESPN).
San Antonio’s season has not gone according to plan. Superstar Kawhi Leonard has played all of nine games, and the rest of the roster has also experienced an inordinate number of injuries. With a potential Leonard return coming soon, the Spurs have gotten three key wins to start their current homestand. The team is now in a three-way tie for fifth in the Western Conference.
Golden State has cruised through the year and it looks right now like the squad is all but guaranteed the West’s second seed. The Warriors have been suffering injuries left and right recently, though, and will be without Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant, Klay Thompson and Omri Casspi in this NBA game.
Will San Antonio get a fourth straight home win, or will Golden State overcome its missing players to get a road win? We will explore the influencing factors before settling on our Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs betting predictions and picks in an effort to beat the odds from the United States’ online betting outlets.
Will Quinn Cook Keep Playing Like a Star?
A week ago, the Warriors’ Cook had never scored as many as eight points in consecutive games of his NBA career. In the past three games, though, the 24-year-old point guard has put up 13, 25 and 28 points, respectively, as a replacement starter for Stephen Curry. His three-point shooting in that stretch has been a Curry-like 11-of-17.
Meanwhile, San Antonio’s weakest position might be point guard. Dejounte Murray, Tony Parker and Patty Mills form a position group that has depth, but nothing resembling top-end talent.
Murray is an excellent defender, but he struggles on offense and might not be able to keep pace with a star version of Cook. The other two Spurs point guards are better on offense, but still not elite, and they will have a lot of trouble defending Cook if he keeps playing like this.
Who Wins LaMarcus Aldridge-Draymond Green Matchup?
For the past few years, the narrative around the Spurs’ Aldridge and the Warriors’ Green is that Green consistently has Aldridge’s number when the squads play. The two power forwards are similar in overall impact, but Green has played better than Aldridge the majority of the time when the teams meet.
In the past two matchups, though, Aldridge has flipped the script. The six-time All-Star big man has averaged 25 points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists with a 62.9 true shooting percentage. Draymond hasn’t been bad, either, with 14 points, 10 rebounds and 10.5 assists in those contests, but he had just a 50.2 true shooting percentage, more turnovers, more fouls and also accumulated all the aforementioned stats in more minutes.
Now, both of those games were wins for the Warriors, but Golden State enters the next game with a more depleted roster. The pressure will be on Green to play like a superstar on offense when he’s more used to dominating on defense and picking his spots more on offense.
Can San Antonio Make This a Half-Court Game?
Considering the players that both teams have available, the Spurs are the more talented team. They are also the team with more chemistry, since the squad has played pretty much the entire season without Kawhi Leonard and have gotten used to executing their offensive and defensive concepts without him.
Golden State is still adjusting to playing without three of its four best players, including all three of its best offensive players. The Warriors have lost three of their last five games, and have fared much better when the games have been played at a fast pace. In transition, offensive decisions are easier to make and don’t require as much chemistry.
In that five-game stretch, the Warriors’ two wins have averaged nearly 103 possessions per game. In their three losses, there were an average of about 93 possessions per game. The Warriors usually do better in transition than in the half court, but the gap is more drastic when they don’t have all their great scorers in the lineup.
San Antonio should have a massive edge in this game if both teams have to score primarily against each others’ half-court defenses.
Our Preview’s Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs Betting Picks & Predictions
The Spurs need this victory with the Western Conference standings being so packed between seeds through 10. The Warriors have so many players out and are all but guaranteed their current playoff seeding.
San Antonio is also finding its stride on this homestand, winning in a blowout over the Orlando Magic and then beating two very solid teams in its last two games. The Warriors are merely a mediocre squad without Curry, Durant and Thompson, and this preview believes the Spurs’ urgency will shine through in a win. When it comes to having a bet that view is reflected in our Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs predictions:
- The Spurs are a unanimous favorite by 6.5 points in this game, a figure they should be able to cover in this contest. Your best bet is taking the Spurs -6.5pts @ -110 with Bovada, Bookmaker or 5Dimes.
- As for the total points likely to be scored, 206 seems like a low total for any Warriors game, even one where they have a slow-paced opponent and are missing a few stars. San Antonio will slow this game down, but the Spurs will be able to score plenty and the Dubs will still get their share of fast break points. Bet the over 206pts @ -110 with Bovada, Bookmaker or BetOnline.