After a quiet couple of weeks, the fields should start to get stronger as the Tour starts to build to this month’s PGA Championship. This week sees the return of the Wells Fargo Championship, a tournament which dates back to 2003.
Rory McIlroy is the reigning champion and the most successful golfer in the brief history of this event. He is back in 2022 to defend the title that he won by one stroke from Abraham Ancer a year ago.
Last week in Mexico, we claimed a long-range top ten return as Cameron Champ came home in a tie for sixth. It’s been a reasonable recent run so let’s see if we can build on that as we head to Potomac in Maryland. This is our 2022 Wells Fargo Championship full golf preview with predictions, odds and betting picks.
Rory McIlroy is the defending champion and a three-time winner of the Wells Fargo, having previously lifted the trophy in 2010 and 2015. The Northern Irishman is so far ahead of the pack that, at 9/1, he is the only golfer in single figures with the top USA sports betting firms.
Rory is rested since his late charge at the Masters and his form is also sound coming into Thursday. The switch from Quail Hollow, where he won all three of his previous Championship titles, is the only thing against McIlroy this week.
A long gap behind the favorite follows before Corey Conners and Matthew Fitzpatrick slot in at odds of 20/1. There is definite interest in Conners who has returned four Top 12 finishes in his last six starts. The Canadian also ranks highly in key Tour stats including Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. Fitzpatrick also scores well in relevant stats but the Englishman needs to respond after a missed cut at Harbour Town last time out.
Moving through the betting lines, Tony Finau and Tyrrell Hatton are both available at 25/1 in places. Hatton is in 50th place in the FedEx chase so he has been solid if unspectacular, but he ranks first on Tour for Strokes Gained: Putting and that could also be significant.
Finau finished in a tie for second at the Mexico Championship and that marks a welcome return to form. However, his power hitting may not be suited to this week’s smaller course.
Other names to mention in this section include Gary Woodland and Abraham Ancer at 28/1, plus Russell Henley and Keegan Bradley at 30/1. Bradley will likely attract the most interest, but Woodland is showing signs of a return to form with five Top 25 finishes in his last seven starts.
Heading up the list of outsiders in the bookies’ odds this week is Seamus Power at an industry best of 35/1. Power is attracting some interest but there is some buzz around the man directly below him in the outright market. Marc Leishman is on offer at a top price of 40/1 and that’s a tempting figure for a golfer who leads this week’s Power Rankings.
Australia’s Leishman had a solid record at TPC Potomac and he ranks Number One on Tour in Par 3 scoring which could be a pivotal stat on this smaller course.
Other names of note in the outsider bunch include 2019 Wells Fargo Champion Max Homa who is also listed at 40/1. Homa won by three shots from Joel Dahmen three years ago but hasn’t threatened the top of the leaderboard enough.
Elsewhere, Paul Casey is quoted at 45/1, while you can also consider Sergio Garcia at 45/1, Webb Simpson at 50/1, Patrick Reed at 50/1, Jason Day at 60/1, Brian Harman at 70/1 and Brendan Steele at 100/1.
Our Preview’s Wells Fargo Championship Predictions & Picks with Course & Betting Trends Verdict
TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm is the new venue for this week’s tournament. Quail Hollow had been the regular host of the Wells Fargo Championship but will now take the Presidents Cup instead.
TPC Potomac is a short par 70 at just over 7,100 yards. It has previously hosted the Quicken Loans National so it won’t be unfamiliar to many of this week’s field. Small, fast greens and punishing rough are the biggest challenges and accuracy stats will be the most important across the four days.
The tournament was originally run as the Wachovia Championship back in 2003 and the inaugural edition was won by David Toms. In the 19 years that have followed, only one man has won the event on more than one occasion. Rory McIlroy has those three titles, but can he add a fourth in 2022?
Last week, we saw a clear favorite come through as Jon Rahm took the Mexico Championship. It’s tempting to get behind Rory on that basis, but the change of venue could be his undoing. One man who ticks all of those accuracy boxes is Corey Conners who looks to offer some value as second favorite.
The Canadian ranks sixth in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee, third for Greens in Regulation and 19th in Proximity. That’s enough to convince us to get behind Conners while the three additional Top Ten picks will hopefully extend our nice run. So these are the betting predictions and picks for this Wells Fargo Championship 2022 preview:
- Corey Conners to win at +2000 (20/1) with Bovada, BetOnline and EveryGame.
- Top 10 Finish Picks (all odds with BetOnline who are best price on these players): Conners (+260), Seamus Power (+400), Keegan Bradley (+400) and Marc Leishman (+400).
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.