This fourth-round FA Cup soccer tie sees a Premier League side, West Ham, hosting a Championship outfit, West Bromwich Albion, and the odds setters have inevitably made the former clear favorites (10am ET Saturday).
That home advantage has helped David Moyes’ men to be odds-on to win, but is it quite that simple?
In terms of the overall league ladder, just four places separate the two sides. The Hammers go into this match fourth from bottom of the EPL while West Brom top the Championship as they arrive at the London Stadium. The Baggies’ form is admittedly shaky but could this game provide one of the FA Cup upsets of the weekend?
West Ham vs West Brom Moneyline Odds
In the match betting for this fixture, West Ham are some way ahead with a typical win price of -120. Those numbers mean that West Brom are out at around +300 while many sportsbooks for online betting in the USA have the draw in 90 minutes at +250.
This game preview feels that there is a chance of converting at one of those odds-against prices but West Brom’s form is a big concern. The Baggies haven’t won in the league since beating Birmingham City on December 14 and that winless run now stretches back for six games.
To counter that argument, West Ham are in freefall themselves with a run of just one point from their last three EPL matches. Wednesday’s 4-1 defeat at Leicester City leaves the Hammers just ahead of the relegation drop zone on goal difference and we feel that the home side are vulnerable here.
Hammers vs Baggies Most Likely Prop Bets
We’ll come back to the result in our West Ham vs West Brom predictions at the end, but could there be some better value among the prop bets? We’ll start with the first goal scorer betting where West Ham’s Sebastien Haller leads the market by several points. French under 21 international Haller signed from Eintracht Frankfurt in the summer and has scored six times in 19 league games for his new club so he could be the Hammers’ most likely source of goals.
West Ham players dominate the higher reaches of this market with Albian Ajeti up next but the name that interests us is that of Andriy Yarmolenko. The 30-year-old Ukrainian has his fitness issues but also has a tendency to score important goals. If Yarmolenko is in the squad for Saturday, we would suggest a stake on an anytime goal which would cover the 90 minutes.
Finally in the goalscorer section and for the sake of balance, we should mention West Brom’s Charlie Austin. The much-traveled striker is a threat at any stage of the game and has to be taken into account.
Other potential prop bets include ‘both teams to score’ which is close to offering a + price for this tie. We normally see short odds for this option but poor form in both camps means that it’s been close to -130 this week and that’s not the worst.
We are edging towards the draw so, if you are looking to take a bet in the Correct Score markets, we would suggest considering 1-1 at around +500 or 2-2 which heads up to the +1200 mark.
Key Battles for this FA Cup Game
Having made that bright start to the 2019/20 campaign, West Brom’s attack seems to have dried up. We have continued to point to that poor run of results and the Baggies have now scored just four times in their last five games across all competitions.
Goals haven’t been so much of an issue for West Ham and that 4-1 loss in midweek, admittedly to a strong Leicester side, suggests that defense is their concern.
West Brom’s players barely feature in the individual goal scorer markets so this is where the Baggies need to step up. Expect the away side to return a positive result on Saturday so the likes of Charlie Austin and Hal Robson-Kanu need to find that cutting edge.
Our Preview’s West Ham vs West Brom Predictions & Betting Picks Verdict
Another factor to take into account surrounds the question of priorities. For many teams in the top two tiers, the FA Cup is seen as a secondary competition while the main focus falls on league exploits. For West Ham, the key aim is to avoid relegation while West Brom will be anxious to replace the Hammers in the top flight.
David Moyes’ men have more to lose by fielding a full strength starting XI on Saturday and a weakened side could leave the door open for West Brom. As mentioned, the second-tier side need to rediscover that scoring form but this preview is backing West Brom to snatch a draw on Saturday before taking the Hammers back to the Hawthorns for a daunting replay. So this is our West Ham vs WBA predictions and picks’ advice for this preview:
- Bet on the draw on the moneyline @ +265 with Bovada.
- Take Andriy Yarmolenko to score at any time with Bovada when available.
- Back ‘both teams to score’ @ -140 with Bovada.
Matt Harris is a golf and soccer expert for USA Betting. His other area of specialist knowledge is cricket. He is well known in sports journalism and contributes articles to a plethora of big-name websites and media outlets. Titles that he writes or has written for include: Betfair, BetVictor, Unibet & Just Bookies.