This week we take in the renowned Wyndham Championship, one of the oldest golf tournaments in the US. The biggest golfers have dropped out in anticipation of September’s Ryder Cup but it is still a super-competitive field and this preview aims to find some big-odds value for our Wyndham Championship predictions and betting picks.
Webb Simpson has a narrow lead in the Wyndham outright winner betting at +1200 (12/1) and is a former champion, having claimed this championship in 2011. He has a further five top 15s here and in terms of the tournament’s best money earners of all time, he is number two on the list.
Just behind in the outrights is Hideki Matsuyama (+1600) but the Japanese golfer is some way down the Power Rankings this week. He has a best of a tie for third in this event and his form and record don’t really justify his advanced position in the market.
Our reigning champion Henrik Stenson is a similar price (+1600) but an elbow issue is contributing to a poor run which ended with a Missed Cut at Bellerive last week. The short course means he won’t need to boom it down the fairway but that injury question has to be a concern.
The market starts to move out from this point but there will be some interest in Rafa Cabrera Bello and Shane Lowry (both +2200), who both stayed in contention at the PGA Championship until the final day. Irish golfer Lowry could be one to watch this week after tieing for fourth in GIR and leading in strokes gained at Bellerive – qualities that are essential for Thursday onwards.
At a similar position in the USA bookmakers’ odds is Brandt Snedeker (+2200) who was the last person to win the Wyndham Championship before it moved to its current venue in Sedgefield. That victory in 2007 is a distant one but the 37 year old has maintained a strong record in this tournament and we will be coming back to ‘Sneds’ in our Wyndham Championship predictions’ conclusion.
Ryan Moore (33/1) is another former champion, having won here in 2009 and his form is reasonable with three top 15s in his last six starts. In a weakened field, Moore could be a contender once again.
The 2016 champion Si Woo Kim, last year’s runner up Ollie Schniederjans and Sergio Garcia are all at long betting odds, being circa 40/1. Garcia, the 2016 Masters Champion, is on a bad run but is too good a golfer to be ignored at such a big price.
Elsewhere, England’s Matthew Fitzpatrick (+4000) remains on the PGA Tour for now and is being talked up for a single digit finish despite a lack of experience in the event. Jason Dufner (+5000) and Steve Stricker (+5000) are two experienced golfers who can come through a smaller field while the lack of big names may also help William McGirt (+7500), an inconsistent player who often comes through the pack after a bad run of form.
Our Preview’s Wyndham Championship Course Trends & Betting Predictions Verdict
We are back at the Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro for the 11th year in succession at what is one of the shorter venues on Tour. The course is a par 70 at just above 7,100 yards so the power hitters will have little advantage over the four days.
To compensate for the lack of distance, greens are tiny and fast so good positioning on the fairway is essential in order to attack the small putting surfaces.
Age is certainly no barrier to success here with former champions Sam Snead and Davis Love III both setting records as post 50 year olds and that is partly down to the modest distances involved.
Those stats all point to a very open field and we have had some long-priced winners in the recent past. For 2018, Webb Simpson may be the most logical bookies’ favorite but there are better priced challengers and for us, two names really stand out.
Brandt Snedeker’s win in 2007 can be disregarded but he has started to show consistency again after an injury lay off. Sneds is a tempter but while Sergio Garcia is completely out of touch ahead of Thursday, the 2016 Masters Champion will find form again at some point. With the bigger names absent, this is the perfect opportunity for the Spaniard to deliver at excellent odds.
So our Wyndham golf picks and betting predictions take shape like this: